Discussion: Clinton Leads 42-35 In Latest National Tracking Poll

When I was a boy, 42% meant you were in second place.

Cool story bro

Donald and Hillary are in lock step. She seems to stay about 7-8 points ahead.

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Interesting Silver article. He has possible explanation for why Hillary is doing better in state polls of swing and GOP leaning states. Reason is she is underperforming in some blue states, still well ahead in them but underperforming enough to reflect only a 5-6 point gap in national polling average while she is ahead or tied in heretofore solidly red states.

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I read the article and it make sense. Trump is running a national campaign and Hillary is running a traditional swing state campaign. I think Hillary made the safer bet.

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When I was a girl, 51% would be a majority in the senate. Now the majority is 60%

chuckles

Are you sure about that?? He has no ads up nationally, (and barely any ads up locally), he is doing rally events in states that make no sense, (I’ve never heard “As Mississippi goes, so goes the nation”…in reference to ANYTHING!), and is in the process of jettisoning his entire senior management and his only core message, is still battling with the national party and sticking his thumb in the eyes of numerous Senators running for re-election.

The only coherent theme coming from the campaign is “Incompetent Chaos”, which is hardly a unifying national message. :wink:

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Jackson, Lincoln, Wilson, Nixon and Bill Clinton all won office with less than 44% of the vote.

Only in Bizarro-World US can Hillary lead by only 7 points.

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They keep forgetting to count the " undercovers "

How does Trump get 35% when Stein and Johnson are not included but 36% when they are?

He is on national cable news daily and relies on his surrogates to spread the word to the entire nation. It is not a traditional campaign, but it is certainly national. I agree that his main theme is incompetent chaos, but apparently incompetent chaos sells this cycle.

The two least liked candidates in American history are running against each other. A lot of people are staying home this cycle. Clinton would do well to improve her image with the electorate.

No, the supermajority in the Senate used to be 66%

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