Mook hardly gives any detail. He is very risk averse. He isn’t like David Plouffe. You can tell the campaign is feeling confident if he’s the one making such statements.
I’ll be out canvassing in my swing state this weekend.
Suggest you all do the same.
Just waiting for the next Friday afternoon RWNJFBI leak.
I hope I’m wrong.
I’ve been hoping the POTUS and Attorney General have had some frank and productive discussions with the FBI leadership about knocking that shit off.
Is coming up on close of business on Friday. No big news dumps?? (Obviously, in years gone by, Bridgegate would have derailed someone’s campaign)
Well, if the 30% “already voted” figure is correct, any RWNJFBI leak is too little and way too late. Clearly NO ONE has given credence to the psychopathological ravings of the leakers and their hosts, the Trump election team.
Word.
At this point, the issue is the FBI and and its behaviour, as it should have been all along. Over at HuffPo this has been the main headline:
[RUDY BOMBSHELL: FBI INSIDERS LEAKED TO TRUMP CAMPAIGN]
This is the story line they should have been pushing for the last few days to counter the Trump rise in the polls. Short answer: polls are votes. Votes are votes and Hillary is getting a lot more of them than Trump across the board. For both NC and FL, the answer is: “Republicans reduced early voting opportunities in both states designed to reduce turnout, but it’s backfired. We are now caught up or surpassed their and our expectations.”
They can point to Q and other polling outfit showing Hillary winning substantially in early vote (NC +22, FL+8) and FL has improved for them since that poll completed, and they are holding steady in NC.
I had hoped that this week the Dems could take the heart out of the GOP, but the Comey letter smacked Hillary’s momentum and created a story line to disrupt the early-voting advantage story, especially since the media loves the horse race and not a blow out.
But the facts remain that both NC and FL are looking like early calls for Hillary based on the early voting patterns. Trump would need a massive rally on election day in both states, and the data doesn’t point to that.
And reports a few days ago were that 28% of Florida’s GOP voters have voted Democrat. That’s huge.
Ground game is usually good only in the margins, typically up to 2-3%. But that’s when you get one game better than the other guys.
I don’t think we’ve ever seen a situation where you have an excellent ground game running against ZERO ground game! In this situation, who knows what that can be worth. 5%? Almost certainly. 10%? Maybe. More? Unlikely but again, who knows?
He added that Trump’s lack of ground game in key states was a “real compounding problem.”
“If he hasn’t banked his base by this point, he’s gonna have an even taller task in the final days of the election without a ground game,” Mook said.
Ground game really is key. Although we can’t see it, there are probably tens of thousands of people working for Clinton and working to GOTV. Meanwhile, the Trump campaign isn’t even collecting the voter registration cards it distributes at rallies. Ground game can be worth 1-2% in a state, which means HRC can pick up 2-4% solely from having an intense ground game while HO has none at all. I also believe there’s a hidden % of minority and young voters who aren’t making it into likely voter screens and, of course, white women who don’t want their husbands to know they’re voting for Clinton. I may be proven totally wrong on Election Day, but I still maintain that Clinton is going to win big, especially when you consider all those first time Latino voters who aren’t being counted in polling.
As I posted on another thread:
You beat me to it. I agree, we’ve never seen anything like this so there’s really no telling what her ground game will produce. I saw an interview with Bill Burton, who was Deputy WH Press Sec and worked on both Obama campaigns, where he was talking about Robbie Mook being the best there’s ever been at ground game.
Thank you for this link, my friend.
I am pretty sure that the Hillary GOTV ground game will stun everyone with its thoroughness and with the way it will crush Trump’s nonexistent ground game.
I sure hope that’s a straight-ticket ground game.
Before this information about Trump and the FBI, I was always of the opinion that the REAL hidden warriors for Hill were women. If I can be indulged in relating a story I have probably mentioned here before:
[I was always a fan of Robert A. Heinlein. One of his books (primarily written–in 1953-- from the vantage point of young people) was “Starman Jones”. Max Jones, a stowaway on a starship managed, through a number of unique circumstances (including a resourceful shipmate and Jones’ sound mathematical background), to become a starship officer. In the course of his activities while working his way up, he met a young woman from a privileged background named Eldreth
Teaching her to play a form of chess, Max and Eldreth formed a close platonic friendship.
They were captured by inhabitants of an uncharted planet and forced to bide their time until escape and so, to pass the time, they played chess. A chance remark by Max (who thought he was a far superior player) resulted in Eldreth beating him the next 15 games, the last one in 5 minutes. It seems she was the junior champion in her locality…and she left Max with these words:
“Mr. Jones, has it ever occurred to you, the world being what it is, that women sometimes prefer not to appear too bright?”]
I hope Republican women (as well as any others) become equivalents of Eldreth to this fucking chauvinist rapist.
I think so too. When you see any of the Clinton operatives talk about the election there’s not even a hint, a tiny wisp of concern that they might lose. You just don’t see it. If anything, they all seem a little giddy. Even the campaign embedded reporters say that they just aren’t seeing any of the signs of a campaign that’s afraid they might lose.
Hillary may not carry Arizona this time around but I would like to post that there has been a 40% increase in voting registrations on our local Tohono O’Odham reservation near Tucson. And among Hispanic folks? The numbers are way way up. If they vote Hillary will easily carry Pima County at the least and that will make me feel good. If republicans do come to their senses in any numbers then Hillary might well carry Arizona.