Donnelly is Indiana not Missouri.
Joe Donnelly (D-MO), Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) and Claire McCaskill (D-MO),
Republicans continue to lose the actual vote counts by larger and larger numbers. End gerrymandering, and get the House properly apportioned, and all of this nonsense about âpolarizationâ evaporates.
Republicans are losing on the numbers, but theyâre still winning because of the way the US Constitution limits true democracy. Want to really effect change long term? Move to a red or purple state. I know itâs not feasible for everyone, but there are some very lovely âflyoverâ states and each of those states has a pocket of blue in a sea of red.
If, and its a big if, the Dems hold onto their lead in AZ and claw back in FLA, then their prospects for the Senate look marginally better in 2020-2022âŚ
In 2020, they might pick off Collins but beyond that, it is still a tough road, given the Immaculate Election in Alabama where Doug Jones won. That seat wonât hold,
Looking at 2022, Wisconsin may be flippable, which then leaves NC and maybe AZ as the 50th seatâŚ
Further polarization is to be expected. As the demographic shifts continue, the GOP will become more and more radicalized and insular as gains are made by the Dems/liberals. Itâs why they love to look at the electoral map so much and tout the number of counties and vomit idiotic nonsense like âlook at itâŚweâre a red/conservative country.â Yes, the same people who like to spew âWe The Peopleâ the way they spew shit they hear at churchâŚlike it has magical spell propertiesâŚdonât really like or want to recognize/accept the fact that our government is supposed to be of the people, by the people and for the people when confronting that fact means recognizing that for all that red area on the map surrounding tiny blue areas, the real demographic situationâŚthe REAL way to visually represent what is happeningâŚis that THEY are slowly shrinking red islands in an increasingly blue ocean. They know it. Itâs why we canât have nice things and instead have to put up with the corrupt, criminal batshit that has taken place during a decade-long whirlwind temper tantrum after a black guyâs election as POTUS sounded their white Christian nationalist Defcon 5 alarms.
Democrats can win back the Senate in 2020 if they are able to compete in some of the states where Trump won by single digits in 2016. While there are only two GOP seats up in states that the Dems actually won in 2016 (Maine and Colorado), there are another five in states where they lost by single digits (Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, and Texas) and the results from this yearâs election suggest that in a good year they could be competitive in any of them. Montana is also a possible target for the Democrats in 2020, given Jon Testerâs win there this year and the relative popularity of current governor Steve Bullock and former governor Brian Schweitzer, bot Democrats.
Even scandal didnât seem to have the impact it once did.
This seems to have been the central strategy of the DNC. Hope that disgusted citizens would vote against all the cheats and liars and supporters of a monstrously horrible president. That did not happen.
Instead, the DNC needs to follow the lead of massive amounts of grassroots Democrats who worked their asses off and all the fresh people who ran for office because they couldnât stay silent. Democrats have indeed made massive gains thanks to the grass roots efforts. They led a âvote for us, we are here to make our city, state, county, country better, and this is howâ campaign.
The DNC needs to stand up and scream from mountain tops why the choice for the people, all the people, is the Democrat party. Have a few discrete core policies and point off to the horizon and say âthis is who we are, these are the focused things we are concentrating on, this is how we are going to do it, THIS is where we are going, join us!â.
How we vote doesnât polarize us, it is just a reflection of how we think.
What polarizes me is some idiot telling me I donât believe the Bible because I donât believe man walked with dinosaurs!
This old geezer has some advice for new voters and recent enthusiastsâŚ
Politics is like a Slinky ToyâŚ
The front end wonât move until the back end slinks up and bumps it forward, yet the back end canât move until the front end leads the wayâŚ
Cause and effect are entwined inextricably, but telling them apart can be confusing, and figuring how to manage it all seems impossible sometimesâŚ
Somehow it works, but waiting on that âbumpâ can be more than a little frustrating sometimes, the wait since Trump has been interminable, but it happened on Tuesday.
Reporting like this, treating the democratic process of voting, as a horse race doesnât add to anyoneâs understanding of why people vote they way they do. The animosity, the hope, the despair, the revenge that voters feel, none of it is present here. Itâs statistics only and they donât win elections.
but that is why we write stump speechesâŚ
Looking at 2022, Wisconsin may be flippable, which then leaves NC and maybe AZ as the 50th seatâŚ
I donât have the list by state of senators up for reelection in 2020 but there will be 21 Republicans and 11 Democrats up for reelection. How many are red-red or blue-blue or purple might make the difference in who controls the Senate going forward. And of course if Trump is in prison or still in office. And to if all of us havenât succumbed to Trump and are living in a fetal position, on the floor, sucking our thumbs. Anyway âŚ
But after watching Beto OâRourke Iâm reminded of how very important the candidateâs quality (personality/charisma) matters in campaigns.
Well noted, I overlooked ColoradoâŚ
Take ME and CO, lose AL and you are 51 unless something truly untoward happensâŚ
Interestingly the reporter is a self-described avid sports fan
He grew up near Chicago and is an irrationally passionate Cubs fan.
Betoâs got another opportunity in the very same venue in 2020.
I donât know what everyone thinks, but I know Cornyn is more popular than Cruz.
Regardless, by then Beto may be a steamroller, not just another candidate.
Good analysis. The short version: hold onto those suburbs!
WoW, Holy Cow, never crossed my mind. Another reason for Cornyn to hate Cruz even more. Made my day. Thanks.
Iâll throw this one out:
Biden runs with Beto as his VP with Joe stating he will only serve one TermâŚ
Can you top that?
What happens when Collins and Hunter are convicted - do they have to resign? How are their replacements chosen?