Discussion for article #246772
Does this explain why Kasich is refusing to suspend his campaign? Take as many Ohio delegates from Trump as possible to at least attempt to deny him an outright lock on the nomination?
Josh is right that in 2016, the idea that the party could take the nomination from someone who has a plurality of delegates and popular support is simply not going to happen. Trumps people would burn down the convention center and guarantee his third party run.
Trump is a megalomaniac and he will not be gracefully yielding to anyone. If heâs not the nominee he will make sure the eventual nominee goes down in flames. He could not possible care less about the Republican party or itâs grip on Congress, or even the Country.
Donald Trump has one focus and one focus only: Donald Trump.
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Personally I would just as soon that Drumpf take out Cruz - Rafael is no great alternative,
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Iâm so sick of TPMâs all Trump all the time, Iâve started looking for unbiased news elsewhere, and lookie what I found:
DNC Chair Joins GOP Attack On Elizabeth Warrenâs Agency
and
But if I were a Hillary supporter, I wouldnât want to talk about Hillaryâs good friend and former campaign chair either.
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Didnât Brian Beutler work at TPM a while back?
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Yes, because everything DWS does is HRCs fault or somehow a reflection on her. I sincerely hope HRC is as all powerful and controlling as you believe her to be.
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Whatâs the delegate count so far? While itâs a nice sound bite to say âParhump won Pensyltuckeyâ, I have heard nothing on number of delegates picked up for each candidate. Nothing from the MSM, nothing from TPM. I expect better coverage from you folks. Show us the numbers!
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I take DWS as indication of why Warren did not endorse Clinton; they are not on the same side.
It sounds as if the AP writers are really reaching here. If Trump has managed to get 46 percent of delegates in a crowded field with mostly proportional awards, itâs hard to see how the field thinning out and winner-take-all contests would hurt him. In fact, winner-take-all contest are known for delivering outsize rewards to people who gather small pluralities. So as long as both Cruz and Rubio are in the race (and thus splitting the ostensible anti-trump vote) their effect could be the opposite of what the AP is predicting.
Next stage: bargaining.
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Clinton is ahead, but far from closing the deal. Sheâs very strong in the South, and lucky for her, super Tuesday included many southern states. In more northern states, Clinton lost or didnât win by much.
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Brokered convention! Step right up and git yer popcorn!
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It should give you pause that there are so MANY signs of each of Drumpf and the Canuck giving the other a reach around.
Last nightâs post-results speech by Drumpf shows it. Drumpf went out of his way to say what, for him, constitute âniceâ things about the Texas Cruzbiota, while trashing the Florida Cruzbiota. Drumpf has picked his disease: he had to pick one, because if they all gang up on him, that plus the party establishment may well mean he canât win it.
For profit pols are choosing sides now: if they reject Drumpf, he MAY hurt their party this fall; but if they accept Drumpt, he may well wreck it completely.
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If anyone else manages to acquire the GOP nomination at this point, Trump will obviously run as a third party candidate. His narcisssm would not allow him to accept the result, especially since he won most of the contests. And, in fact, if they tried to deny him, he would be justified in going back on his word that he wouldnât do it, since he would be able to make the case that the party had treated him unfairly.
GOP is screwed either way.
The more they are screwed, the more I like it.
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Rubio is my great fear. The mainstream media has a hard on for Marco.
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Yes, itâs all well and good to say that Trump hasnât locked it up so far, but the article misses some rather important context. Cruz took a fair amount of delegates away from Trump last night by winning Texas, but itâs his home state and, importantly, the states where Cruz was expected to do well have all pretty much happened now. Going forward things look much worse for Cruz. And while the article mentions the importance of Florida to both Trump and Rubio it doesnât mention that Trump has polled well ahead of the pack. If Rubio canât win his home state, heâs pretty much doomed, and if Cruz doesnât pick up a lot of delegates on the 15th heâs doomed as well.
I doubt that anyone thought that Trump literally had it locked up after last night, or that he even could lock it up last night. He had a good night, and if he has another good night on the 15th, THEN heâll probably have it locked up.
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I do not think it is to stop Trump. I think it is part of some plan to accomplish something on his end. Make him more viable or some such.
Trump is leading in both Florida and Ohio. It says something about the Republican establishment that they seem to think that they lost in 2012 because of their fractious nomination contest (Gingrich, Santorum, Romney, et al.) and that the solution was to avoid the infighting and let the front runner run away with it regardless of who the front runner might be. Proportional allocation of delegates makes a lot more sense for lots of reasons, including the long drawn out schedule of primaries.
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I donât know much about this issue, but I do know that it probably doesnât guaranty a full understanding of it if your sources are Daily Kos and Daily Intelligencer. I do know, however, that it is perfectly normal and appropriate - and is required legislatively of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau - that they not preempt effective state law. So, I think a legitimate inquiry would be useful on whether the Florida law would be as effective as any CFPB regulatory proposal. Have you read them both and do you have a view of that? At the very end of the DI article, thereâs a reference to Wasserman-Schultâs statement that she wanted to work with the Bureau to get a good rule. Obviously a right wing plot by the Congresswoman. Thanks.
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To be even remotely âviableâ you have to actually win some states. Kasich hasnât even come close and polling suggests heâs going to lose Ohio.
Kasich has no path to victory to justify his staying in the race.
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Or, more likely, Warren didnât endorse Clinton because she has absolutely nothing to gain by taking sides between Clinton and Sanders.
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