Developing Nations Face Highest Risks In Easing Coronavirus Restrictions | Talking Points Memo

BEIRUT (AP) — As some wealthier Western nations begin easing coronavirus restrictions, many developing countries, particularly in the Middle East and Africa, want to do it too, but they cannot afford the luxury of any missteps.


This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1304459

They lack the key tools — a sturdy economy, well-equipped hospitals and large-scale testing — that are needed for finding their way out of the pandemic.

I don’t mean to be flippant here, but it seems to me that having these key tools puts us in the category of “developing”. Under this administration we seem to be going in the opposite way.

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My thoughts as well.

A statistic that I posted yesterday noted that during The Great Recession, the US economy shed 8 million jobs over the course of two years. Yesterday’s unemployment numbers reflected a loss of 22 million jobs in one month. Those numbers are depression-era figures.

As for our medical system, the US healthcare system is built around them model of maximizing profit. It is not a system built for scale to treat the number of those afflicted with this disease. This is why “flattening the curve” has been a mainstay in our cultural vernacular. If successful, it will ease the strain on our system to fend off collapse.

Yes, we, as a nation, are moving in the wrong direction, providing a poor reflection of our developed nation status.

In the meantime, first world problems:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock-market-wants-to-embarrass-the-experts-144040527.html

The stock market wants to embarrass the experts

Bears looking for a retest of the market lows may soon have egg on their face.

“Depending on how the market plays out over the next couple of days, this might be all she wrote in terms of a retest,” Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA tells Yahoo Finance.

He says we may have already hit the bottom as the conversation shifts from coronavirus cases to reopening the economy.

“I see the bottom on March 23, but then I look and I’ve seen, we’ve already had one semi retest, where in a sense we’ve pivoted, come back down a bit, and then worked our way higher. We’re going through that process once again.”

The Dow ([1](Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Stock Historical Prices & Data - Yahoo Finance)) is up 26% from its 52-week low, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) is up 25% from its low on March 23rd. On Thursday The Nasdaq ([2](NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance)) closed above its 200 day moving average for the 2nd time in three trading session as Amazon (AMZN) and Netflix (NFLX) reached all time highs.

The rebound comes despite a backdrop of weekly unemployment claims in the millions, a historic plunge in retail sales, and the biggest drop in manufacturing since 1946. Goldman Sachs predicts GDP in the U.S. will shrink a whopping 24% in the 2nd quarter, and rebound in the 3rd and 4th quarter.

Over the past weeks analysts and investors have warned we are not in the clear yet and to watch out for a ‘bear market trap.’

“So many strategists are calling for a retest that Mr. Market will try to embarrass the greatest number of strategists at any one point in time,” said Stovall.

[Read more: Stock market news live updates: stocks pare losses as Netflix, Amazon hit records ]

‘The market is just thrilled that now we’re talking about reopening’

On Thursday President Trump laid out guidelines for reopening the economy. The plan defers to governors the reopening of their state economies. Governor Cuomo of New York has already extended the state’s shelter in place orders until May 15.

“The market is just thrilled that now we’re talking about reopening because that re-establishes the opportunity for some sort of a V-shaped recovery,” says Stovall.

The debate among strategists on what the shape of the recovery will look like has been ongoing. One BMO strategist says investors should stop trying to guess the shape of it, that the market still has to digest through the rest of earnings season. This week big banks reported quarterly profit drops as they set aside billions for expected loan losses.

”If we end up seeing some sort of an improvement in earnings estimates as the year progresses, then I think, you know, we could actually be seeing a positive second half,” said Stovall.


  1. DJI ↩︎

  2. IXIC ↩︎

I’m confused as I’m not sure what our nation is developing into?

a fascist state