BEIRUT (AP) — As some wealthier Western nations begin easing coronavirus restrictions, many developing countries, particularly in the Middle East and Africa, want to do it too, but they cannot afford the luxury of any missteps.
They lack the key tools — a sturdy economy, well-equipped hospitals and large-scale testing — that are needed for finding their way out of the pandemic.
I don’t mean to be flippant here, but it seems to me that having these key tools puts us in the category of “developing”. Under this administration we seem to be going in the opposite way.
A statistic that I posted yesterday noted that during The Great Recession, the US economy shed 8 million jobs over the course of two years. Yesterday’s unemployment numbers reflected a loss of 22 million jobs in one month. Those numbers are depression-era figures.
As for our medical system, the US healthcare system is built around them model of maximizing profit. It is not a system built for scale to treat the number of those afflicted with this disease. This is why “flattening the curve” has been a mainstay in our cultural vernacular. If successful, it will ease the strain on our system to fend off collapse.
Yes, we, as a nation, are moving in the wrong direction, providing a poor reflection of our developed nation status.
Bears looking for a retest of the market lows may soon have egg on their face.
“Depending on how the market plays out over the next couple of days, this might be all she wrote in terms of a retest,” Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA tells Yahoo Finance.
He says we may have already hit the bottom as the conversation shifts from coronavirus cases to reopening the economy.
“I see the bottom on March 23, but then I look and I’ve seen, we’ve already had one semi retest, where in a sense we’ve pivoted, come back down a bit, and then worked our way higher. We’re going through that process once again.”
“So many strategists are calling for a retest that Mr. Market will try to embarrass the greatest number of strategists at any one point in time,” said Stovall.
“The market is just thrilled that now we’re talking about reopening because that re-establishes the opportunity for some sort of a V-shaped recovery,” says Stovall.
The debate among strategists on what the shape of the recovery will look like has been ongoing. One BMO strategist says investors should stop trying to guess the shape of it, that the market still has to digest through the rest of earnings season. This week big banks reported quarterly profit drops as they set aside billions for expected loan losses.
”If we end up seeing some sort of an improvement in earnings estimates as the year progresses, then I think, you know, we could actually be seeing a positive second half,” said Stovall.