COVID-19 Restrictions Reduced Islamic State Violence

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This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was first published at The Conversation.

This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1448417
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Thanks for reporting on this issue. One might think then that the way to prevent the spread of IS is to limit travel…but hopefully there’s something more nuanced to be drawn from the information and research.

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In contrast, the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic saw a drastic rise in political violence, at least in Germany, with the rightwing Feme Murders.

More recently, a report commissioned by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York concluded that the 1918 influenza pandemic “profoundly shaped German society” over the next decade, ultimately strengthening of the Nazi Party.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/05/fed-study-1918-pandemic-nazi-party-gains-236530

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I wonder what fraction of the reduction in Islamic state-inspired violence was due to mortality (and morbidity), which also limits movement a great deal more than curfews and quarantines. I think violence will be back because these terrorists are motivated by the heavenly rewards that await them.