After Kentucky’s Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andy Beshear pulled off an upset victory over Trump-endorsed Gov. Matt Bevin (R) on Tuesday night, President Donald Trump and his conservative allies performed Olympic-level verbal gymnastics to argue that Bevin’s defeat actually proved Trump’s “political star power.”
I’ll play devil’s advocate this much: you can argue that Bevin didn’t lose because of Trump; Bevin lost because he actually did the things that every mainstream Republican is saying they’ll do.
The GOP hated teachers, unions, and Medicare long before Trump came along. Bevin, seeing that he’d run and been elected as a Republican, acted accordingly.
Was Trump the final nail in the coffin? Yeah, probably. But it’s absolutely possible—I would even say likely—that there’d have been a similar result with President Rubio or President Jeb! or some other less Trumpian Republican in the White House.
If I were a Republican, that’s what would worry me. Bevin might be unlikeable, but it was Republican policies that killed him.
What came out of last nights elections especially in Kentucky is one fact and one question. The fact is that racism and democracy are mutually exclusive. The question is the future of Mitch McConnell.
To the fact, Trump is popular in Kentucky for trying to erase any trace of Obama being president especially Trump’s attempts to destroy “Obamacare” wheres Bevin is extremely unpopular for tying to kill the “Affordable Care Act” (ACA). Remembering that over 70% of those who benefited most, got health care for themselves and their children under Obamacare/ACA or whatever you call it, are White people with a high school diploma or less, or as the media calls them “Trump’s base”, Trump’s base was forced to choose between hatred of Black people and love of their children. Enough chose love of their children and Bevin/Trump lost.
Which brings up the question, even more unpopular in Kentucky then Bevin and up for reelection in 2020 is Mitch McConnell. With Trump being on the ballot in 2020 will that be enough to save “Moscow Mitch” or again will enough Kentuckians again choose their own best interests over shafting “those people”. My prediction and the complication for McConnell is Kentuckians will try to have it both ways and vote for Trump and against McConnell as they did last night picking the pro-Obamacare candidate for Governor and the Trumpians for everything else. That is last nights results must make McConnell and the other 22 Republican Senators running in 2020 very nervous that being in bed with Trump will save versus screwing them and could affect their inevitable Trump removal vote.