Arizona Senate Race Looking More And More Promising For Democrats

A couple tantalizing data points have made the Senate seat currently held by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ) look like an increasingly bright spot for Democrats amid an unquestionably tough cycle. 


This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://talkingpointsmemo.com/?p=1479019

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Call me cynical, but it has always struck me that Kyrsten Sinema’s goal all along has been to position herself to become a highly paid special-interest lobbyist. To her public office was just a way to develop personal relationships with and thus access to powerful people in government.

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If she doesn’t run, that’s a huge relief for Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), who wouldn’t have to worry about her picking off any Democrats/independents he’ll need to win. So far, much of Gallego’s campaigning has targeted Sinema, his quasi-primary challenger. Her bowing out would let him focus on his Republican opponent.

Truthfully, Republicans have more to celebrate if Sinema doesn’t run. The polling generally shows Gallego doing better against Lake when Sinema is on the ballot, than when she is not:

Not much high quality polling on this race yet, so Gallego could be correct that Sinema hurts him more than Lake. Either way, I have yet to see any poll where Sinema leads. She has a pretty clear choice between losing in an embarrassing third place finish or not running again. There is no way she makes it back into the Senate in 2024.

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Kari Lake is a complete rat-fucker. I think if Sinema stands down he will eliminate Lake. He will be a lot better known by then and he is a pretty darned good candidate.

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She still could; she has until April 4 to submit 42,303 signatures, which is not a huge number. But it’d be pretty strange to let it go so late if she was planning to run again.

Sinema is an attention-seeking flake. As far as I am concerned, what she is doing is not normal but certainly within her past histrionics. Quite possibly she’ll get the signatures done in March and submit them just at the deadline to gain extra press attention.

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I think previous polling isn’t too meaningful yet beyond making it clear that Sinema is very unpopular, and things get much more interesting when we get into the thick of election season and it’s a clear 2-person race. Before then, we shouldn’t read too much into it, and even then, we don’t know exactly the criteria in which people in AZ will be deciding which lever to pull.

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Once again proving the adage that every accusation from Trump and the GOP is a confession.

Trump accused Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis of trying to “foment racial bias” in an effort disqualify her from prosecuting him and his allies .

Gift article from the WaPo:

https://wapo.st/3UwIVRp

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image

“…Kari Lake…”

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“…Ruben Gallego…”

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I thought the GOP was adamantly opposed to changing the rules in the middle of an election campaign.

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It’s just the primaries man. All intra party no?

I think we all fell for her bisexual, flamboyant image. Wasn’t she cool? No, she was not. She’s a grifter. I hope to never see her name with any official prefix again.

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Ok, I just spit out my glass of boxed wine (we are trying to save money because the economy is in a free fall and we are all going to die).

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Kari Lake is a true whack-a-noodle.
She has no business being in politics as we in Arizona do not need cry-babies who whine about losing elections some time back (and the numbers are not current that I will quote) about 5% of democrats supported Kari. About 30 % of Republicans did and a similar percent for indys. Not good numbers.
I plan to vote for Mr Gallego
Kari seems to spend her time whining. It could be the reason she left her Fox News TV gig in Phoenix. People got tired of hearing her

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Ha!
Rules are for the little people, not folk like trump who is immune and beyond yer petty laws. What other politician would have a strangle hold on a political party when they’re facing 91 felonies and 4 criminal indictments?
If I didn’t know better I’d say the foregoing screed was fantasy. But trump could win and destroy America.
Unless millions get off their complacent asses and get registered and then vote on Nov 5th

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So if you didn’t open this link

It does have some interesting takes on Republicans in the West and women. But the last lines are a doozy.

“Republicans have increasingly come to view unmarried women as a problematic demographic group for them,” she said.

Yay!!!
Sisters are doin’ it for themselves

“We need these ladies to get married,” he declared. “It’s time to fall in love and just settle down. Guys, go out and put a ring on it.” Jesse Watters

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Speak for yourself. We never fell for her. And we’re too old to worry about being cool.

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Ruben has a real shot. To date have given to a handful (at the moment) - Joe Biden, of course - and Ruben will get my second check this weekend. Can’t give a lot at once, but steady works well.

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Her and the “Mom For Liberty” trash only underscore that being bi doesn’t prevent you from being a terrible person.

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RCF–Resting Caca Face