To me the most important question is what happens if the law is upheld. What are both the political and more importantly actual affect on citizens of either formally overturning Roe or distinguishing it to a point it is irrelevant.
Not wanting to get into the constitutional discussion, because I don’t think it matters.
That is those who are making the decision do not much care what the constitution says. Rather, for enough of them it will either be a political or religious decision and the constitution be damned.
Noting that to be honestly against abortion, you must be pro-choice, as in choice of health care, choice of day care, choice of education, choice job training and above all choice of contraception. All choices that those who are trying to outlaw abortion oppose.
The affect on people I fear is a return to the days before Roe, when you constantly heard on the news about “backroom butchers”, most hospitals having entire wards dedicated the care of mostly young women being harmed if not killed by back ally or self abortions and everyone knowing someone or someone’s sister who was harmed or killed by an illegal abortion.
Furthermore, well I hate slippery slope arguments, I think there needs to be a real concern that the attacks on abortion are a larger attack on women’s health and rights, especially birth control. Birth control allows all women to have an option other than marriage and dependency on men or forgoing intimacy. That is if you take away birth control you take away the opportunity for women to have it all, a job and a family and be equal and independent of men.
The political question is harder to answer. In discussing the politics of abortion an important fact must be presented. That fact is that Ronald Reagan is far beyond all other presidents as being the most pro-abortion president in American history who as governor signed the first and today still the most permissive bill legalizing abortion, appointed Supreme Court justices to assure Roe would remain the law of the land and followed policies that were against choice and therefore cause abortion demand to greatly increase during his term as president.
Since Reagan, Republicans at the national level have gone on record as being against abortion and followed Reagan’s policies of keeping abortion legal and by opposing choice, more frequent than Democrats.
That is Republicans and therefore Republican women have been able to support Republicans claiming to want to outlaw abortion while supporting legal and frequent abortions. So my guess and even more my hope is that at the very least this will end the successful Republican political strategy at the national level to say they are against abortion without any political consequences.
Will the political result of all this end up with Republicans, and especially Republican women, being able to still keep abortion legal while still claiming to want to make it illegal. That is will, in the end, the Supreme Court find a way to merely continue chipping away at Roe in a way that does not cause women who vote Republican to become afraid of losing important rights or is the game finally up and Republicans must either live with truly being against women’s rights or will it be able to continue the fraud of the last 40 years.