I’m sensing something in the political atmosphere. I don’t think the GOP base gets it yet, but I do believe the GOP Congress does. Trump has given up on immigration as a political issue.
- I see Beauregard completely backtracking, now claiming they never intended to separate families.
- I see the gov’t declined to prosecute 16 heads of households who had crossed the border with their families. DOJ later denied that there had been a change in policy, but the signal was unmistakable. They’re going back to Obama era standards because they’re the only ones that can be managed administratively.
- Trump had some unhinged statement (yet to read it in full) but the body language from the pics I saw indicated a Trumper Tantrum of frustration.
- The GOP bills in the House failed. Paul Ryan is still a douche. Nancy Pelosi was needling him. Chuck Schumer was swingin’ for the fences on comprehensive immigration reform. Democratic House candidates have sent me emails supporting ‘Comprehensive Immigration Reform’. Democrats are on offense on immigration. The GOP has given up and might even support the discharge petition working its way in the House.
- Gov. Northam has ordered an investigation to see if there have been violations at these detention centers/concentration camps in VA that are prosecutable under VA law. Gov. Cuomo has sued the Administration for mistreatment of detainees. The Administration has a massive exposure (imho) on violations of laws and standards of conduct that apply in caregiver situations. Many others may have committed crimes. At some point, the FBI has to get involved.
- Avenatti and others are keeping the issue of reuniting these kids front and center. He is also representing ICE whistleblowers as the Administration tries to clamp down on dissent and leaks.
These guys are losing. The wind has gone out of the sails. The Base doesn’t quite see it yet, but they’ll know that nothing was done on immigration. There will be no wall. In addition, the trade war is causing the GOP to lose support among WWC voters. We’re seeing it in polling in KY-06, WV-03 and in Wisconsin/Iowa and other affected places. So while the media is now coming up with a new narrative (Dems are strong in suburbs, GOP strong among WWC/rurals) that really isn’t true. What is happening out there is that Dems are strong among suburbs, urban areas, and have improved among white voters across the board, while the GOP is left with its base, who are voting inconsistently and are getting outvoted in places where they normally romp.
The Democrats got more votes than the Republicans in the race for Governor in the CA primary election. Don’t think that’s ever happened.