The very big problem for the Trump campaign, is Michigan and Wisconsin.
Trump got a pretty narrow EC victory in 2016. He really doesn’t have a lot of flexibility in surrendering states. And is certainly not looking at expanding the map.
That list includes 5 states equal to 70 EVs, wiping out his victory margin. And, IMO, I think they are at great risk of losing AZ, but isn’t included (I assume due to lack of 3 or more polls in last 6 weeks), which is another 11 EVs.
Just those changes puts Biden at 333 EVs vs. 205 Trump. And there are danger signs cropping up in a lot of other places…MT, IA, TX, GA…I wouldn’t be feeling safe about SC or KY at this point, either.
The larger point here is, the sort of election that would flip a GA or even a TX, probably flips a lot of other states, too. They aren’t fighting for a close victory right now, they are trying to hold off a landslide disaster.