Lara Trump, an adviser on President Donald Trump’s 2020 campaign, explained away head-to-head match-ups with Democrats that show the President losing significantly by saying that people are “more afraid” to express their support of the President now than they were in 2016.
“The polls have never accurately reflected how people feel about this President, especially now. I think people are even more so afraid now to voice their support for President Trump then they were when he was just a candidate in 2016.”
Oddly, I always thought the polls did reflect the sentiment quite well. But that is really not relevant to how that election was won.
“This the same thing we saw in 2016,” Lara Trump said. “The polls have never accurately reflected how people feel about this President, especially now. I think people are even more so afraid now to voice their support for President Trump then they were when he was just a candidate in 2016.”
I’m confused, the polls were inaccurate in 2016 because people weren’t afraid to voice their support for Trump? For the record the polls were right in 2016. Real Clear Politics had Clinton winning by 3% on the day of the election, she won the popular vote by 2% well within the margin of error.
I think ‘bad polls’ are explained by people not wanting to admit that they support Trump. For some in the middle, there’s something about him they like (maybe not everything), but they can’t admit it for fear of being labeled something awful that they don’t actually support. Trump is an all or nothing phenomenon. At the end of the campaign, all that will matter is what’s in the ballot box. No one typically reveals, individually, for whom they voted, but the numbers are what the numbers are.