Our journey through America’s varying levels of pandemic-voting preparedness continues this week with looks at Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, North Carolina and Nevada.
Absentee ballot requests for Dems in FL, PA, MI, NC are off the charts. We’re not going to have any problems banking our votes.
The raw average of 101 polls taken this month (source: 538) has Biden ahead 51-41. This includes a huge dump of polls today across 3 pollsters which show that Biden netted a 3-4 point bounce from the Dem convention where a number of the polls include dates that overlap with the first 3 days of the GOP convention. It takes about 4-5 days for a bounce to show up (though the Dem bounce started 3 days after the DNC and has sustained itself despite 3 days of non stop lying from the GOP). We’ll have to see how GOP convention day 4 impacts the polling. My overall guess is that Trump claws back 1-2 points from the Dem bounce but not much more than that. The reasons for why the GOP convention may not generate the same type of bounce as the Dems:
Trump overexposure + middling speech
News cycles throughout the convention ran at cross-purposes to the GOP message
Typographical error that autocorrect and most Alabamians won’t catch. Change “county” to “country” in this sentence:
Alabama requires an excuse to vote absentee and thus it usually sees mail ballots making up a very small percentage — among of the lowest in the county — of all ballots cast.
That is the only hope Donald Trump and Republicans have in the 2020 election is to steal it most likely through voter suppression but also thru Russian voter hacks and the Chief Injustices on the Supreme Court.
But nobody honestly thinks Trump can win honestly.
"Meanwhile, the GOP enjoys a supermajority in the state legislature (NC), which could be obliterated this year after a court order mandated that the state redraw its district maps. "
Not anymore, they have a majority but they can’t override Cooper’s vetoes or negate his executive orders. This has saved us, we would be among the worst in the world for COVID if the Repukes had their way. There is also a good chance for the Dems to get majorities in one or both houses and flip a couple of US House seats. The most critical thing is to get rid of Tillis.
I’m pretty hopeful that the voters’ intent will be to throw Trump out. But there is no question in my mind that he is going to resist with every means at his disposal being deposed. All his current cabinet and staff are all in. It’s going to be ugly and it’s not going to be quick.
Though it nixes the no-excuse absentee voting, concern about catching or spreading the novel coronavirus now qualifies as an excuse.
This is inaccurate. Coronavirus was added as an excuse for absentee voting in the primary.
Election officials haven’t yet recruited enough poll workers, and a higher turnout in the general will put the mail-in ballot apparatus to the test. Election officials in Kentucky’s biggest counties already reported being strained to the breaking point in June.
Just to add context. KY has 120 counties. I know, it’s ridiculous! That means Jefferson County can’t pull in county clerks office employees from a smaller county in order to fill in the gaps.
If we overwhelmingly vote his ass out then the trick is going to be to ignore his bloviating and threats and watch what the GOP actually does. My bet is that they’re going to take so many losses across the board that no one is going to have any interest in entertaining his bullshit.
I will not trust the post office to ship my ballot across town so…
I called my county recorder’s office in June and inquired when ballots would be shipped. I was told October 7th. That’s a Tuesday. If the ballot does show up bu the end of that week I’ll fillit out properly and hand carry it to the recorder’s office. If my ballot doesn’t show up by the end of the week I’ll visit that office and demand one. And I will fill that bad boy out in the presence of a worker there. The post office be damned.
I voted no-excuse absentee in Shelby County, Kentucky in the primary with no trouble. Ordered that sucker five minutes after Andy announced we could, and mailed it the day after it arrived.
BUT I have decided to vote in person early in the general, even though I am at risk for COVID. Not going to let a single vote give the Pumpkin Traitor an excuse to declare victory before the mail-in ballots are counted.
8 a.m. Oct. 13 at the County Clerk’s office. I’ll be the one in the hazmat suit.
Over 10 years ago I retired to East TN to be closer to my children. I’m white and am now 75, so one could think there would have not been any issues with my registering to vote back then. I’ve got to say, I don’t believe anything has changed for the better, I believe it has become even more difficult to register.
My story, I was initially told that my birth certificate issued in 1945 by PA was “old” therefore not valid. I did not argue as I had plenty of time being retired and it was springtime. I therefore requested a replacement BC from PA and when received I went to register, no good, this one was different from the original therefore also not valid. I asked do laws never change that may require official documents to be modified, was old of course but that does not make them legal. I wrote to PA explaining my problem, the response was a letter outlining both State and Federal laws that required changing a BC. I went back to the county to register and this time same clerk never even looked at anything but the original BC when completing the registration.
The second part of the story is the requirement to show a valid picture ID from the State of TN when registering and when voting. As stated, I was retired and had time. A good thing, but I question how many folks can get a driver’s license when the bureau is out in the sticks without any public transportation. When open for 4 hours every other Tuesday and if you don’t arrive hours early you will not get a place holder ticket. When your info is entered into a computer if any questions arise the computer is locked and requires a call to Nashville to get the issue resolved and unlocked. Something as simple as a name check with other states to see if they had issued you a license, well yes. Hope your name is not common otherwise a locked computer and only one issue can be resolved per visit. Even the license I presented from the state I had moved from needed to be approved by Nashville.
Took 6 visits, which is a total of 12+ weeks, to get my license. Only then could I even apply for voter registration. Nothing to do with actual voting, which is a whole other story.
A few more things about Tennessee: If you vote absentee, you can only return your ballot by USPS, FedEx or UPS. You can’t take it to the polling place or even to the election commission office. There are no ballot drop boxes. The external mailing envelope that they send you is NOT postage paid. You have to put a stamp on it.
I live in Shelby County, TN (where Memphis is). It is TN’s biggest, bluest county.