Most likely, yes, but it does also depend on just how much damage the GOPniks manage to do to themselves with all those threatened revenge primaries between now and then.
If they nominate a couple of Todd Akin types (you remember, the guy back in 2012 who claimed that “legitimate” rape would not result in pregnancy), who knows.
As a long time Hoosier, I’m glad I was wrong about this one. I thought for sure we’d do the wrong thing because of course we do. I gotta believe part of the calculus is that they know this will be a wave election and they run the risk of losing more than the two seats they would gain.
“I will partner with the incredibly powerful MAGA Grassroots Republicans” - mm yah. I think a lot of those guys are smelling the big stink and they will be rethinking their money. They were already starting to wobble with Trump action on the Fed. ADP report, which is a goode substitute to the Fed’s unavailable data did not look beautiful.
I am not so sure about that. I have lived in Indiana for a long time, and I have heard a lot of people talking about how they hated this whole thing, the threats, the craziness of it. I think that threatening to kill the grandson of one of those Republicans had a lot to do with it. They have almost every seat as it is. It was not worth it to go along with that freakshow.
And hot off the headlines, here’s another data point:
(The vote was brought to the floor by a discharge petition, so no thanks to Speaker Feckless Insurrection Johnson, but 20 GOPniks crossed over to support it.)
“You brood of vipers! Who warned you to flee from the coming wrath?”
– J. T. Baptist
A perfectly reasonable political calculus but even if their allegiance to Trump and MAGA was mostly passive, a matter of survival, there is little reason to give them much credit for that: they not only survived they thrived while a lot of bad things happened to their fellow citizens during the interim.
Not to overly belabor the point but, as Martin Luther King, Jr. said, “[H]e who accepts evil without protesting against it is really cooperating with it”, and until now the Indiana Republicans mostly did cooperate. Personally I rather expect they will continue to do so to a significant degree.
Not a matter I have any direct knowledge on, so how about some unfounded speculation?
Braun served one term as a U.S. Senator, and then got elected gub’nor in 2024 instead of continuing in the Senate. That sounds to me like he is, or thinks he is, going places.
He’s been a loyal member of the cult:
voted against hurricane disaster relief funding in 2019
blocked the release of CDC guidance during the COVID pandemic
100% on board with the 2020 “stollen election” malarky
initially said he’d vote against counting the votes of “disputed” (in the patient’s fever dreams) state results, before flip-flopping after the Capitol was stormed on 1/6
voted against impeachment over the “perfect” phone call
He clearly sees his political future in slavish obesiance. Perhaps wearing a Braun shirt.