OK so: if Walker/Warnock is a runoff, who benefits from the 3d candidate being out of the race?
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I think he’s saying they tweak settings across the board, not for a particular race.
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Hard to say. The libertarian dropped out a few weeks ago (and endorsed warnock), but it being too late to remove him from the ballot plus early voting still gave him votes. Oliver is anti-police and openly gay. I’ll go out on a limb and say his 2% won’t bother to vote in the runoff.
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The Dems don’t need to do what the GOP does. They are in the majority in Michigan and would win in a fair fight. What they need to do is take redistricting out of the hands of the legislature. ungerrymandering would do the trick. Better that than tit for tat
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Meshuga. Sometimes English will not do because it does not convey the meaning well enough. (Think Jack*ss vs. Pedejo).
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Orygun was only in play because a former dem(Johnson) ran independent against the bona fide Dem(Kotek) and the GOP candidate, Drazan, in the guv race. Phil Knight poured millions into the independent’s and Drazan’s campaign, so as to split the vote, but all his influencer $$$ went for naught. Kotek is in. Cry me a river…
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Silver and Cohn
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Nate Silver and Nate Cohn of FiveThirtyEight and the Times, respectively.
(Although, in some quarters, “The Nates” has become a broader pejorative on par with “The Karens”.)
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It designed, built, and programmed itself. Sends out its own tweets too. Pay no attention to that dude behind the curtain!
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Hadn’t heard it that way, but that’s what I wondered. I can never remember names, so the actual Nates just did not spring to mind. Thanks, to you and to @geographyjones.
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It’s also decided it needs a rebrand. It’s picked a new name for itself, Skynet…
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I think it tells us that Florida can be lopped off the country and set adrift at sea. Now if we can convince a significant number of right minded folks in Texas to retire there enmasse as well, a lot of problems can be resolved.
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It would be far more clever than that. It would choose Not-Skynet as a name to throw everyone off the trail.
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He’s safe for now.
It’s RCP who’s in the hot seat.
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Better or worse, this country is stuck with each other.
Like Mexico regarding Texas, the Spanish Empire couldn’t prevent Americans from settling in Florida.
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An(other) excellent question–and thanks to @occamscoin’s reminder about the 3rd party candidate dropping out; I’d flat forgotten that li’l tidbit!
Esp. w/ OC’s reminder of Oliver’s issue stances and previous endorsement, I could fairly easily imagine his voters supporting Sen. Warnock; OTOH, I can also see his voters being Republican’ts who couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Walker, but ALSO couldn’t bring themselves to vote for a [shudder] Demoncrat, either.
IF it’s the latter (esp. if it determines the Senate leadership), I bet they’ll revert to the mean pretty quickly. IF they bother to vote at all. 
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Looking at the map, it might be doable. Now to avoid truncating Georgia, it would have to start on a diagonal line roughly starting the the mouth of at the St. Mary’s river in the northeastern part of the state. Then track down to a place call Horseshoe Beach in the western part of the state. It would definitely end up leaving the panhandle which will make Rick Wilson happy. But in the main, it will get the job done.
The line is approximately 138 miles in length, far shorter that someone’s border wall. I figure we could all take a nice hand saw, and make a contribution to the effect while getting a short vacation in. They will never see it coming. The last person to make a cut needs to remember to give it a solid kick to get it drifting off shore. By the time it is discovered they will be well past Cuba and heading out.
[I Would suggest a good trim saw. Wears gloves to avoid blisters]
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Reminds me of college rankings. Too many schools are more concerned with goosing data (e.g., encouraging marginal students to apply then rejecting them to boost selectivity data) to improve their rankings than educating students. Too many pollsters seem to be more concerned with bolstering narratives than providing accurate information.
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Nope.
Georgia’s myth is that it was founded as a debtor’s colony (that’s another story).
Truth is that Georgia was founded as a security barrier between the English Carolinas and Spanish Florida.
There’s also the slavery issue, as South Carolina slaves hied to Spanish Florida.
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