Dr. Anthony Fauci doubled down on his signature cautious optimism as he discussed the flattening of COVID-19 cases nationwide during an interview on the TODAY Show Wednesday morning.
This is premature. We need to get through April to see where we are. We’re on track for 1 million cases. Our implied fatality rate at the moment is 8%-14% depending on how far back you think a case takes to resolve in terms of recovery vs fatalities. If we keep pumping cases into the system it mean we’re in the community spread phase and more people will die. Keep the social distancing through May and I think we have a chance to ease measures over the summer.
“So as I say, I’m a very cautious person, but we are seeing some light at the end of the tunnel,” Fauci said.
Every damned time Fauci utters something like this he wipes out all previous admonitions about approaching the relaxation of mitigation efforts slowly and carefully. Trump hears this shit and yells to the assembled room “Let’s open her up!!”
Trump won’t even make it to May 1st before he decrees the worst is over, everyone back to work and play. Mark it.
That’s what he’s intending to do. CDC is actually making a move to push that date back towards the end of May. They know we’re not ready. Without testing, the only thing keeping us from the absolute Imperial College level worst case scenario is social distancing.
Trump’s decision is made, and the CDC is a nest of Deep State operatives bent on destroying Trump, and America.
You know, Tony complains about having to sit and wait for the Trump Rallies. He just wants to go back to his work Then he does his own ego-stroking appearances on the MSM. They are self defeating.
Go do your work. Don’t fall down Trump trapdoors. Don’t be a media pig. (apologies to porcines)
I see why we’re confident that we’re getting ahead of the disease… We’ve stopping increasing the testing rate, so we’re falling behind in seeing where it is…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/04/13/reality-coronavirus-testing-continues-differ-trumps-claims/Nonsense. Just because things aren’t as bad as they were last week doesn’t mean we’re anywhere over this or near it. This will only be over when either:
1 - An effective and safe vaccine is made freely available to everyone on earth and new strains of this or other viruses don’t take over.
Or
2 - Universal testing and a total enforced separation between people who have the virus and are still contagious, and those who don’t have it, until the former have either died or are no longer contagious.
And in both cases:
3 - Effective treatment for those who have it so they don’t die or suffer serious long-term effects.
We’re nowhere near any of these, even the third, and won’t be for a pretty long time. Whether forced to or on his own, Fauci is engaging in happy talk and protecting Trump.
"…we are seeing some light at the end of the tunnel,” Fauci said.
The light at the end of the tunnel is November 2020.
No doubt that Fauci knows Trump will lift the stay home recommendation before April 30. It will be a disaster and he knows it. Fauci knows his influence is waning. It is time to get back to NIH to work on a vaccine. Trump has chewed him up and spit him out. How sad.
Trump is going to tell people things will open on may 1. If any governors open there state up and the number of deaths increase, trump will blame the democrats in the state for not following his great plan.
If they don’t open up their states up he will tell everyone those state’s economy will never recover because of the horrible democrats in charge.
That seems like what his big reopen the economy plan is.
Is it still where you have to have and present clearly major symptoms to get tested, at least for free?
Like everyone I’m constantly monitoring myself to see if I might have it, and so far nothing clear-cut and most of the signs are good, e.g. no high temperature, no prolonged dry cough, no headaches that don’t go away, heart rate, BP and blood O2 levels generally ok, etc.
But, now and then I do get a headache, or cough one too many times, or feel a very slight pressure or burning in my lungs, or my temp gets to 99.5 or so, or my eyes water, I feel slight sinus pressure, etc., and I just have to wonder, like anyone would (and I’m sure does). Especially when they happen at once.
Most likely it’s seasonal allergies as spring is finally getting underway here and I’ve done a lot of running in local trails and near grass and trees, perhaps a minor cold, the effects of not sleeping enough, etc.
But, how to make sure, for my own sake and especially that of others? Any word on if and when universal testing is coming? I think that literally EVERYONE should get tested, continuously, even those who’ve come down with and recovered from it, since natural immunity isn’t assured yet.
This does not turn off like a light switch. Flattening the curve does not mean that the disease is beaten or that people won’t die. They will contract the disease at a slower rate such that our health care system is not overwhelmed, and the “flattened” curve will be lower, but “stretched out” over time. Until a vaccine is developed, we will still be in a world of hurt, and curtailing social distance too abruptly and will allow a second wave to hit and the curve will go back into exponential phase.
And testing, testing, testing!
After reiterating his line that he envisions a “rolling reentry” for states that won’t be uniform across the board, Fauci warned that “pulling back” on mitigation efforts prematurely will prompt more infections.
Listen to Fauci Covidiot Tump!
Posting this tweet again:
https://twitter.com/eosnos/status/1250425692786847744
37,000 American lives would have been saved from Covid-19 infection IF the Covdiot-in-Chief has started social distancing one week earlier!
Yep, it just means that medical pros are more and better able to treat sufferers and presumably save more of them using known methods, and thus reduce deaths and long-term effects so the pandemic can be better “managed” until la true cure and/or vaccine is found.
We’re all gonna die…
With you on this. What exactly this means remains the $64000 question. My coworkers and I are feeling pressure to get things back up and running by mid May. Seems wildly optimistic. We’re counting on Governor Inslee to put pump the breaks on the crazy.
