Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) warned listeners not to put too much stock in the opinion of government health experts who “we, like sheep, blindly follow.” […] He later implored Fauci for a change in tone: “We need more optimism.”
I agree. Let’s be more optimistic about the prospect of Rand Paul’s angry neighbor getting his hands on a baseball bat.
Ah yes, the Gospel of the Free Market. Let’s all let millions of individualized situations be our test, arriving at that Holiest of Holies, the point of equilibrium, where the supply (of humans) intersects the demand (of the virus). Then and only then will we be able to discern the true price/value of being alive.
And anyone who does marketing makes their living from the fact that all of those consumers are led to their choices, and don’t arrive at them as a result of their own cogitation.
Rand Paul’s beliefs are counterfactual and everything he says based on those beliefs is bullshit.
Where the culture of self-fulfilling prophesy (I believe it, so it becomes true) and a virus collide.
Hey after all, Fauci is in charge of infectious disease and he has not made the virus care about my feelings. So obviously, this is all his fault. If he was just more optimistic we would have been fine.
He later implored Fauci for a change in tone: “We need more optimism.”
Rand Paul, daydream believer.
Good god, how hard does reality have to smack these jerks before they figure it out?
Or another way, how much dissonance can one “brain” stand before it melts?
Fauci says we might see 100k cases per day. The CDC did a study with John’s Hopkins which put the high at 200k per day and deaths at 3k per day. Is that realistic? Initially I thought no, because I thought the blue states would keep things in check. But we have one blue state that isn’t (CA) and we have a whole lotta red states that are getting chewed up by the virus as the weather gets hotter, there are no clear social distancing rules, and people use more A/C and congregate more indoors. My thinking back in May was that we would see what we’re seeing now, cases in the 40k range and perhaps touching 50k.
To get 100k per day you’d really need a couple of anchor states adding over 10k per day, and we do have 3 candidates in FL, TX, and CA. Then you’d need another set of states giving us 5k per day, and there are a few candidates in AZ, GA, NC. That would get you to around 50k. But then the remaining 44 states + Fed territories and agencies would have to average around 1000-1100 cases per day to get to 100k. Is that possible? Well, it’s a bit like a small rise in the water level getting to the inflection overflow point. It could happen. I still see it a bit of a stretch but the 28k-50k range per day seems sustainable for the bulk of July.
As for deaths, our fatality rate is trending lower, but our caseload is piling up. We’re going to be at 3 million cases in about a week. Even at a 4% fatality rate among remaining cases (and we could have as many as 2 million cases to resolve soon) we could have 80k more fatalities. We’d cross 200k in that scenario.
I saw a text the other day who stated that masks did not work and could actually make you ill, based on his knowledge gained from 40 hours of classroom training by OSHA for construction workers (OSHA 10&30 certified), one-half hour of which discussed N95 masks, So, this guy has 40 hours of mostly unrelated classroom work and Dr. Fauci has 40+ years of actual work with infectious diseases. I think I will go with Fauci on this one.