Yeah, that reason is that they know he isn’t going to get the nomination. So why bother.
Aha. Then the next obvious question is: how do they determine a winner?
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Yea because we all knew who answered the poll questions…we’re watching you!
Man I really I hope you answer was a joke because if not…oh, never mind…
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same as the last one
please state why Sanders is a better candidate than Clinton?
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On the surface, this could be concerning…until you realize that Trump’s unfavorable status with women has steadily grown and maintains a very high percentage of women voters. Donald Drumpf will not be POTUS.
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I’m guessing the number will drop to 4.5 soon. I can see a lot of money coming in on the under.
Totally agree. My Facebook full of “liberal” friends has turned into equal parts “bought by Wall Street” and “Benghazi”. When so-called liberals are buying the conservative talking points, it says to me that Bernie is over the bell curve in terms of being good for Hillary.
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I disagree only slightly…
I does mean one thing, it is not the cakewalk many think it will be.
The fact that they can be found close to one another (even if phrasing is too helpful to Trump) should scare everyone.
It is truly a battle of who is more unlikable than the other.
I expect that this will be the Gap Hillary tries to fill with her VP pick.
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It has Hispanics making up 1% of the electorate and Blacks making up 5%.
Just to balance that with 2012…Hispanics made up 8% of the electorate and Blacks made up 13.5%.
So something funny seems to be going on with these numbers. Taken as it is, it seems reuters is saying the 2016 electorate will have extremely high white male turn out and Hispanics, Blacks, Asians and Women will just stay home. There is nothing credible to back that up…not registration increases nor exit polling on both sides of the aisle in the primaries.
Still, I am a little troubled by this…either if its valid, or if its not, why somebody like Reuters would be going so heavily into the tank to massage a poll.
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The average across 7 polling outfits has Clinton ahead by 6.4 points.
Realclearpolitics.com
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19% unaccounted for in this poll. Just keep that in mind.
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It seems like a high number, but actually makes a bit of sense. Its very early still, Hillary is still in a “race” with Bernie, and many Bernie supporters haven’t given up the ghost yet, and likewise, many people who were staunchly anti-Trump on the republican side aren’t ready to concede either.
I can easily see that combined camp being roughly 20% of the electorate.
The problem i have is the cross tabs. Its way out of whack with any reasonable model of what the electorate will look like. Hispanics down from 8% to 1%?? Blacks cut in half?? That sort of thing just doesn’t even come close to getting off the ground.
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This is going to continue or get worse until Bernie drops out and Hillary consolidates her base. The problem is that this seemingly close race is going to give Trump’s campaign more life than it normally would have making him a stronger opponent. Republican politicians and donators will begrudgingly support him who wouldn’t even think about it if he was consistently 10-15 points down. At this point Bernie is doing more to hurt his cause than help it by staying in. The longer his campaign goes on the smaller Clinton’s eventual win will be and the less chance the dems have to take back the Senate.
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What this Reuters Poll can do is wake more people up. Any of that is fine with me (as is your info here–which injects some optimism).
The operative mentality is to beat this fucker, with the idea that if we do not come together and fight, even a person like Trump can win. That is no more than any commander in the field would say about the enemy…
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On May 8, 2012, Romney trailed Obama by 0.2% –
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These are what I would call narrative polls. Taking advantage of a gap where Trump has wrapped it up and Hillary and Bernie are still fighting it out. It’s also about setting the narrative to keep the race alive, which happened a lot during the 2012 race, especially with weekly trackers like this one. We all know that when Hillary wins the June 7 primaries and Bernie concedes there will be a movement to her. It doesn’t surprise me that less than 1 week after national polls had Hillary up +13 and a state poll in FL had her up by similar numbers that these counter narratives would emerge.
Polls in May don’the really mean much unless the trend is taken into account. These polls coupled with trump’s high unfavorable across voters and especially women voters tells me trump will lose. Bigly, as he would put it. 70% of when don’the like him. One would think that would be significant. I feel like I’m over thinking all this.
answerfrog, you are going to call names right up to Trump being sworn in and then you are going to wonder what happened. Pull your head out of your ass and start asking why Hillary is only one point ahead of an idiot like Trump. Clue, true Clinton believers are not the only people who are going to vote in the general. Second clue, Hillary is running a piss poor campaign. I don’t want to live in Trump’s America. Somebody needs to tell Hillary this isn’t 1996. This is 20 years later and she has to introduce herself to those people who have come of age in the last 20 years. The same old identity politics reflected in her Rolodex isn’t going to win.
By this time in 2008, Obama had already pivoted away from Hillary and to the general. Hillary kept running until June. This election Hillary has just gone on vacation. She is never in the media. Why? Because she doesn’t try to win a cycle ever.
The campaign has not started yet and Ms. Clinton is just letting Trump do his act. Relax! Most people are not political junkies like us. There have been no ads. or debates. The republicans are still trying to figure out what to do about him. The Republicans in office are as terrified of him as most democrats. Let them sweat because he has exposed all their conservative “ideology” for what it is.
Back in 2008 Hillary didn’t drop out until June. Obama didn’t use that as an excuse. By this time he was pulling Hillary supporters away and more importantly he was really running against the Republican.
If anything Hillary has weakened since her New York win. She is dead in the water.