Discussion: Trump Leads By 16 Points In South Carolina

Discussion for article #245945

Here’s a very interesting (and disturbingly credible) thought experiment from Obama’s speech writer Jon Favreau:

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Remember, this means 65% are not for Donald “the draft dodging Coward” Trump. After he goes through the dirty meat grinder called SC Republican politics, and a few more of the dwarfs drop out, he will probably look even less attractive.

I think Jefferson Davis had the same lead once as well.

I really don’t understand why people continue to make that point. If Trump is far and away the frontrunner with 35‰ of the vote then, according to that logic, those sitting at 15‰ are losing 85‰ of the vote.

I’ve always seen Trump as an easily beatable clown should he win the GOP nomination – but I read the above piece by Jon Favreau and I think its time for a reassessment. Favreau points out that we are not hearing what Trump’s message is beyond the inflammatory bits that reinforce our assumption that he is not to be taken seriously. When you see how Favreau distills from Trumps own words, an inspiring resonant message (not too dissimilar in aspiration than Sanders’) it becomes clear that democrats are going to have a tough time countering it effectively. Its an emotional appeal, not an intellectual one, and actually really scary to think how many people will buy into it. Our party better figure it out. I started a thread on The Hive to see if people care to discuss strategies and how that might differ between Sanders and Clinton.

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I’m calling it for Trump right now. I’m not the first to see him as inevitable, but there are plenty of people out there that think Republican primary voters are going to “come to their senses”. Well, no they are not going to come to their senses - nope. This is the logical evolution of American idiocracy that has been so actively encouraged and celebrated.

I still don’t think he can win the general, but this election should be a wakeup call. I’m not encouraged.

Marco RuhRoh is hoping for a brokered convention.

i.e. If it ain’t brokered, don’t fix it.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_GOP_2016_RUBIO?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2016-02-11-03-46-36

If Trump is far and away the frontrunner with 35‰ of the vote then, according to that logic, those sitting at 15‰ are losing 85‰ of the vote.

Actually, someone getting 15‰ of the vote is losing 985‰ of the vote. ‰ is the per-mille sign. I suspect you wanted the percent sign, which is %. (I’m wondering how you even pulled up a per-mille sign without copying and pasting it!)