Discussion for article #226268
8200 registered voters, and a 1635 vote gap. (Hawaii is open primary)
That means with 100% turnout, Hanabusa would need to get 60% of the votes to pull out a win.
With a more likely 75% turnout (the stops will be pulled out for getting voters to the polls, normally turnout is under 50%), she would need to win with a margin of 63.3% to 36.7%.
Absent Schatz being found in bed with a live boy or a dead girl, it’s not gonna happen.