Great Britain’s position:
No real plan re Brexit.
No clear mandate from its citizens.
No leverage over the EU.
What could possibly go wrong?
The best the EU and UK can do in the next 21 months is set up a structural framework. The details and necessary infrastructure changes will take years. Here’s a good overview.
You know what this calls for?
Jared Kushner!
If he can’t fix this, nobody can!
Definition:
influence the outcome of (something, especially a race, contest, or election) by illegal or underhanded means.
The british have, if anything, negative leverage. If there’s no deal, England reverts to some-random-country status – no freedom of movement or residency for british citizens in the EU, no currency movement, no trade agreement, no presumed certification for british products etc. So the question is what the british negotiators will have to give up to get basic access to the european market. But meanwhile a) the british team is still operating from a basis of “Fog on Channel, Continent Cut Off” and b) no one knows from day to day whether the current government will fall and the entire negotiating team and foreign ministry leadership fired, so any promises/threats/whatever the brits make are doubtful. Oh, and c) Theresa may has formed her government in alliance with a bunch of nativist crackpots who would be an insult to the Neander valley, but in particular who are most likely to ditch her if the negotiating team makes “too many concessions”.
There was already not enough popcorn in the world.
…an important touchstone to see how amicable the biggest political divorce in decades will become.
Am I the only one hoping for the EU to be Ms. Angela Bassett in “Waiting to Exhale”?
The sun finally sets on the British Empire.
Well, he’s busy solving peace in the Middle East, but after that, I think he’s got some free time in his calendar between re-organizing the entire Federal Government and his impending time in prison…
I agree. The UK is approaching a situation where they have little to offer, an insurgency on the home-front, and an EU with a vested interest in making an example of them for the other countries looking to jump ship. Several EU member states (such as France) would love nothing more than to cut the UK off completely and gobble up their current place as the EU’s currency broker, and all the jobs that come with it.
I can’t find anyone who can come up with a single thing the Brits can offer that the EU wants bad enough to make concessions…
…Britain long seemed dazed by its own momentous move.
Does this sound familiar to anyone? The dog that finally catches the car? The U.S. political party that suddenly finds itself in command of both the Executive and Legislative branches, but with no plan and no real mandate, beset by internal divisions?
The europeans have already said that they might consider market access in return for freedom of movement and continued jurisdiction of the EC human rights court. And a la carte payments.
So, for minimal disruption (because there would be some to the EC) maybe they would agree to a non-brexit brexit where the only thing that really changes is that england has no representation in the EC legislature and no staff in brussels but still antes up.
And then they can have their petition for entry considered some time after the eastern european nations are sorted.
But my guess is that unless there’s a change of governing party the result will be no agreement, which is pretty much the worst possible outcome. For pretty much the same kinds of reasons as AHCA.
He needs a superhero outfit. Preferably chic. Maybe Gucci can provide one…
Yes, and to add to that, the misgivings post-Brexit and the ramifications of a Euro-skeptic – or even Euro-hostile – Trump presidency has led to even stronger pro-EU sentiment among members and a stronger hand re negotiations.