Gee, from this photo, I could easily be convinced that Hillary is every bit the genocidal maniac that are dubya, cheney, biden and Obama. Sheās wearing the face of desperation and fear, at the least. Her claims to being a genocidal maniac are already well established.
I donāt think that phrase means what you think it means. Is Sanders āin the middle ofā a winning streak? There is no evidence to suggest that.
DOOOOOOOOMED!!!
Vince Foster will have his revenge!
Yes, I think that was the same mic she used to order the military to stand down in Benghazi.
Wellā¦if thereās a way to lose this election the Democrats will take that option. Sanders is OK but he canāt beat Cruz and heāll have a tough time with Trump. The GOP and media will give him a pummeling unlike any weāve seen since they did it to Gore.
Well, maybe this poll is right. On the other hand, HC has beaten BS in every major state primary, except Michigan and Wisconsin, and has amassed 2 million more votes than him. So, letās see what happens tomorrow in NY, and then Penna, Maryland, Rhode Island and Conneticut. At some point, I suspect we can stop paying attention to the polls when we have actual vote counts to rely on.
God it sucks being a Dem sometimes ⦠although it would suck harder being a Republican this cycle I guess.
More than two million, more like 2.5 million as I recall. Oh, then, maybe the 174 votes for Sanders in WY (where each ended up with 7 delegates) really gave him a half million?
Editorial Judgment #263
Which has more merit for a TPM poll article?
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A single national poll, or
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Nine New York polls in the past week that show remarkable consistency with Clinton winning by 10-17%.
Answer to my own question: #2 by far!
among 339
I question the āDemocratic primary votersā bona fides of this ānationalā clutch, troupe, fistfull?
Tomorrow. HRC will win big. Trump will and wonāt. Bernieās Rove will vamp then decampā¦
Happy to be corrected. I think NBC/Wall Street Journal had a poll the other day saying that HC was 17% points ahead of BS in NY. I donāt recallt TPM reporting on that one; I must have missed it. But, we shall see tomorrow. In any case, I assume BS will crush HC among the Jews, thatās for sure, with his insightful analysis of the Israel-PLO conflict.
I hate polls. Ever wonder how many people vote for who ever the polls say people are voting for? Democrats, Republicans, whats the difference, idiots in both camps. Polls are nothing but News organizations creating their own news.
Did you see the Poll out today that the only 6% of the Public trust their news sources? No I didnāt think so.
Some might say hypothetical national polls are close to meaningless, but I would never say that. Wait! I just did.
Nothing really new here, this poll seems to be in line with most of the national polls over the last few weeks. RCP polling average shows Hillary ahead by a little over 1%.
In terms of being in competition for the nomination, what Bernie would need a lot more than a near-tie in national polls would be a much better showing in recent New York polls, where heās trailing by an average of 12 points in a state where he really needs to win by double digits in order for that win to accomplish much in terms of closing the delegate gap.
But in terms of the recent national polls, when it was just one or two polls showing a tie or near-tie I wasnāt sure how meaningful those results were. But now itās a whole bunch of polls all showing about the same result. Of course they could all be wrong, but itās less likely.
The most interesting number in this poll is that it shows Bernie with 41% of the minority vote. Given other recent national polls where more detailed results are available, his improvement with Latino voters is likely a big part of that. According to the recent Atlantic/PRRI poll, Hilary was still leading Bernie 63%-30% among African-American voters. but they were basically tied among Hispanic voters ā Bernie 48%, Hillary 47%.
The NBC/WSJ poll is also consistent with other recent national polls in showing Hillaryās once massive lead among women voters continuing to narrow. The Atlantic/PRRI poll shows a near-tie among women voters (46-44), with Bernie winning women under 50 by nearly 2:1 and Hillary winning women over 50 by a similar margin. The NBC/SWSJ poll shows HIllary holding a much larger 15 point lead among women, but thatās still down substantially from their earlier polls.
I really find the Hispanic numbers highly suspect. Except for California and New York, I believe the states with the largest number of Hispanic voters have already voted and I believe HC has beaten BS in all of them, except the Colorado caucus. And in the states that had actual primaries (as opposed to caucuses), she did especailly well. So, as I have written elsewhere, we can either obssess on the polls or we can look to actual votes.
We who are Democrats have been taught to worry obsessively and to fear the worst will happen and never have confidence that what we believe deep down, in this case a Clinton win, will actually be realized. Who taught us? The hate mongering RWNs who pile on and attack and lie, and have those big mics, and weāre too nice to give it back to them.
While increasing her lead in NY to 17 prs. Like Nate Silver says, national polls are meaningless, particularly at this stage.
Polling data says he can.
In fact, polling data for several months now has been showing Sanders beating any of the GOP candidates. Importantly, Sanders polls as beating Kasich, which Clinton does not.
Now that most states have already voted, Sanders is doing quite well everywhere but in the states that have yet to vote. This is really a stupid story.