Discussion for article #229106
Udall ekes it out.
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I’m praying that all of these polls are off by a few points, and Dems sweep all the close senate and gubernatorial races.
But I fear my prays will be unanswered since I actually don’t believe there is anyone (or anything) on the other end of the line to answer them.
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I think so too. This is yet another race where minority voters have the opportunity to hand the race to the Democrat if they just come out and vote.
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Minorities, or as I like to think of them, the 99%
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Get with it Colorado. I think Udall does eke it out - these polls always under sample younger voters, minorities and peeps who don’t have land lines.
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We just need to hang on to a couple of these, and I feel good about that. I think Begich in AK survives, as does Kay Hagan. Nunn will win too. I still think Grimes can pull it out as well. I think votes go into the booth and think, “damn, I’m sick of McConnell.”
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ahh, poll trutherism. A beautiful thing to see from my side 
They sample less, but then compensate by weighing the sample to correct that. In 2012 it wasn’t the sampling that was the problem, but the weight they gave based on estimated voter participation.
If the voting patters follow recent mid-terms, democrats are probably going to lose a lot seats, including the majority. If the DNC get out the vote operation can be as successful as 2012, then democrats will win a number of the seats they are polling behind in, if it’s close like Colorado.
The question, is how much was 2012 effected by tech and effort, and how much was it effected by having the nations first black president a the head of the ticket.
Monmouth needs to go poll Arkansas next. Looks like Dems,at least for now,have momentum from coast to coast.
How? How can this be? Are the voters really so ignorant? Gah!!!
The thing is, the races are close enough, and the fundamentals of things like organization and voter registration looks really good for us in every race, with the possible exception of Kansas and South Dakota.
So its possible we could see the republicans actually net a LOSS of seats. We hold everywhere but MT and WV, and we pick up GA, KY and Orman wins in KS. Toss in SD going either indy or Dem and they could be looking at a net 2 loss.
I know. Wacky talk. But on a race by race basis, I have a hard time finding one that I say “yeah, the Dems aren’t gonna pull that one out, no matter what”. We are in every one.