Trump leads Hillary in the latest Rasmussen poll. The rest of the polls will follow soon. Sad to say it, but terrorist attacks help bring his numbers up. I’m a Trump supporter but my wish would be that not another person would die at the hand of Islamic terrorists.
I think that if Trump were to be elected President he’d thumb his nose at the Republican elite. Unfortunately he won’t be elected. There’s just no way. Too many groups hate him.
I think the best analogy I heard was a couple weeks ago when someone said it will be a choice between “the imperfect and the insane”.
He was on Chris Hayes’ show tonight, talking about it. There’s a lot of push to get him to endorse, but he’s talking about making the platform the best it can be - and that’s not unreasonable. Let him endorse at the convention. That’s where it would traditionally happen for the last competitor in the race, anyway.
Well, it’s a metaphysical thing-it could be an illusion caused by his numbers falling…
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Trump at 34 percent.
Buried lede methinks. Hitler pulled something like 37% in the second round of the 1932 elections in Germany, but was only at 30% in the first round. And where was Hitler just a few months later? Trump’s deep support deserves a little explication. Are these people concerned about protecting their own economic interests? Are they mischief makers taking pleasure in monkey-wrenching the process? What are they afraid of or not afraid of? This is not the old GOP of, say, Orange County in the 1970s, but something else. Hillary, remember, was a Rockefeller Republican back in the day and a favorite of Sam Walton, and really, besides on equal protection and economic opportunity issues, has she evolved that much? This 34% group are people who prefer Trump even with what should be a very palatable alternative that favors their interests. Like, wow, just wow.
That is a completely different read, assuming how many Republicans are not inclined to back Trump. 34 % is an astounding number, and suggests a solid core of zealots or very confused people. Moreover, Trump would likely delegate the corndog-throating duties to a surrogate such as Christie, who has been mentioned as a possible running mate.
I was just rubbing it in, there wasn’t much science involved.
Think about Christie for a minute and what an awful choice he is if you were really trying to inspire voters. Besides his state being in awful fiscal shape and all of corruption, he is now basically just an errand boy and the conservatives don’t go for the wimpy types.
And the idea of him ‘downing’ a corndog grosses me out.
With the end of the primaries, the political relevance of three-quarters of all Americans is now finished for the presidential election.
Issues of importance to non-battleground states are of so little interest to presidential candidates that they don’t even bother to poll them.
Charlie Cook reported in 2004:
“Senior Bush campaign strategist Matthew Dowd pointed out yesterday that the Bush campaign hadn’t taken a national poll in almost two years; instead, it has been polling [the then] 18 battleground states.”
Bush White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer acknowledging the reality that [then] more than 2/3rds of Americans were ignored in the 2008 presidential campaign, said in the Washington Post on June 21, 2009:
“If people don’t like it, they can move from a safe state to a swing state.”
Because of state-by-state winner-take-all laws, not mentioned, much less endorsed, in the Constitution. . .
In the 2012 general election campaign
38 states had no campaign events, and minuscule or no spending for TV ads.
More than 99% of presidential campaign attention (ad spending and visits) was invested on voters in just the only ten competitive states…
Two-thirds (176 of 253) of the general-election campaign events, and a similar fraction of campaign expenditures, were in just four states (Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Iowa).
Over 87% of both Romney and Obama campaign offices were in just the then 12 swing states. The few campaign offices in the 38 remaining states were for fund-raising, volunteer phone calls, and arranging travel to battleground states.
Since World War II, a shift of a few thousand votes in one or two states would have elected the second-place candidate in 4 of the 15 presidential elections
Policies important to the citizens of non-battleground states are not as highly prioritized as policies important to ‘battleground’ states when it comes to governing.
“Battleground” states receive 7% more federal grants than “spectator” states, twice as many presidential disaster declarations, more Superfund enforcement exemptions, and more No Child Left Behind law exemptions.
Compare the response to hurricane Katrina (in Louisiana, a “safe” state) to the federal response to hurricanes in Florida (a “swing” state) under Presidents of both parties. President Obama took more interest in the BP oil spill, once it reached Florida’s shores, after it had first reached Louisiana. Some pandering policy examples include ethanol subsidies, steel tariffs, and Medicare Part D. Policies not given priority, include those most important to non-battleground states - like water issues in the west.