Probably be well past midnight before all the results are in but this one prolly won’t be as close as KY.
There will be a fast call tonight apparently. 20% in and Bern leading by 15.
If Sanders wins Oregon by only 15-20% it’s actually pretty weak for him. This should be a stronghold for him. If he can’t get his required 66% of the delegate here, then where will he get them?
The pollster that had her up by 15 should be laughed out of business.
After losing KY the target % for him went up in all remaining races.
Now he’s leading by 6% with 44% of precincts in. If that were to hold it would be a catastrophic loss for him.
Perhaps I spoke too soon.
It is a closed primary so it may end up being close.
Yep. A less than double digit win would only net 6 delegates at most.
Benckmark calls it for Sanders. They said the final won’t be far off from the current spread.
Benchmark also says if Sanders can’t win Oregon in landslide, he has zero hope of winning CA…
Anything less than a 30% win for Old Man Smithers is effectively another loss, and it looks like it will be in the 5-8% range. He’s been toast for 2 months – now he’s just a shriveled-up, charred lump of ash. His only “path to victory” is getting invited to Hillary’s inauguration.
But but but… momentum!!!
?
NBC calls Oregon for Sanders.
Well, to be honest, Sanders never had much of a chance of winning in California, so that’s not a very hard call to make. He’s underperformed the entire month of May, his contributions are drying up and he now gets to spend the next three weeks thinking about Nevada while he watches his support drift away. In two weeks he’ll have only his hard core, nut-job cult followers left. Perhaps that will be enough to make him take a step back and actually look hard at what he’s really doing.
One can only hope.
Which will be a net gain of 5 pledged delegates at most in Oregon.
It’s pretty close, really. Imagine if Hillary had campaigned in Oregon.