Discussion: New Poll Shows Trump, Clinton In Dead Heat In 3 Key Swing States

I know! He’s such a staunch supported of the Democratic Party who has worked tirelessly to support and campaign for other democratic candidates! He’s not at all like Clinton. It’s always been about her, her, her and never about building a democratic congress. She wouldn’t waste her time campaigning for the presumptive nominee when it was clear there was no way forward in her campaign! She fought, fought, fought all the way to the convention because her whole campaign was always about her!

It’s a good thing that Bernie isn’t like that!

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Q does this every election year spring. They had Romney over Obama in many of these states in 2012. Hillary was ahead by 13 points in a FL poll released just last week. This is a GOP favorable (actually white male heavy) sample. As for the Sanders-Clinton delta, it’s pretty clear that Sanders supporters (young people) are still going for Sanders because he is still running. That’s a lagging poll number for Hillary because these young people will support her overwhelmingly in the fall. Obama had a similar lag vs. McCain in GE polls prior to the convention and it didn’t really coalesce for Obama until the last week of September. I would prefer that he get out of the race now, but at minimum he has to exit the race in June.

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The poll also found Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who has vowed to fight the Democratic nominating contest to the summer convention, performs better than Clinton against Trump in all three of those states.

When I saw that, I had to check the article to make sure that was what was being stated.

Seeing how this campaign is borrowing elements from 1988, those poll numbers aren’t really safe for him. If he was the current nominee, I would have definitely wanted to see the NY state #'s, seeing how that state would have been play at that point.

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And he’d be a terrible President. He assumes things are going to go his way and has no Plan B. His default tactic is to yell.

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These polls are called: “Working the Refs”.
First Rasmussen, (who ALWAYS get it wrong and have a heavy Republican Slant) and now Quinnipiac who vary wildly.
Check out this:

Excellent description of what it happening with the polls.

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See, to me this poll reads almost exactly like the Dem Primary polls back when We kept adding Biden into the mix of people who “could be”'on the Ballot.

Clinton took a hit in those polls while Bernie stayed the same, because Biden and Clinton were splitting the same constituency,
Seems like the same thing is happening here with Trump getting all the R respondents, and Bernie and Clinton still splitting the D respondents with some still holding out hope on the “I won’t have to say I’ll vote for the other one because my candidate is soooo going to win the primary”

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and that’s why I’ll be waiting until Philly…

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to believe the hype that Republicans are split on Trump doesn’t pass my laugh test. Republicans will ALL vote for him its what they do. Party over country and Freedom! The Military vote is 2-1 for Trump lol hey they want to blow up the world dontcha know? He’s their guy. God Help The United Stats of America and thank you Bernie Sanders the Professional Protester and his merry band of idiots.

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A Miami Herald poll released yesterday found Clinton beating Trump 52% -25%, with 23% undecided in the key county of Miami-Dade. Trump must really be kicking ass outside of Miami-Dade county.

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The Military are 2-1 Trump the most reliable Republican vote. they get free everything in the Military its a way of life florida has an enormous number of Military and their families. free health care free education in many case free housing they are into 2nd generation Military Dwight Eisenhower warned of the Military complex they would vote for a Gorillia so they got one so? lol Military most reliable republican vote

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Couldn’t agree more. There are both Sanders (a bigger faction) and Clinton supporters who are telling pollsters they refuse to vote for the other candidate whereas Republicans have become increasingly resigned to the fact that Trump will be their nominee. The poll was conducted from April 27-May 8. Trump essentially clinched the nomination on May 3.

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It’s like when the MSM refers to the “Democratic nominee, whoever that is” in an article when they know damn well and good who it’s going to be but it’s always in their best interest to manufacture some element of surprise.

EDIT TO ADD: The state of Florida is NOT going to vote for Sanders.

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I am skeptical of their Florida numbers…it stands out in pretty sharp contrast to the polling I have seen down here lately, including the one from the Miami Herald today for Miami-Dade county:

http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article76550682.html

He is getting trounced in that one (down 27 points) with about 20% of republicans picking Hillary over Trump.

Ohio I can believe…the early polling I have seen there indicates a pretty tight race right now, and its the only battleground state where Hillary didn’t receive more votes in the primary than the GOP winner did (though that guy is now out of the race).

PA I think is always a pipe dream for republicans, but it helps the media sell some cockamamie story about Trump winning blue collar workers

All the numbers shift once we get through the conventions and the convention bumps for both candidates. Trump is also receiving the lions share and then some of the coverage right now, with Hillary only being brought up as the target of one of his attacks, or as the target of one of Bernie’s attacks. Once the old curmudgeon finally drops out, we should start to get a clearer picture. But it does bear watching.

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Over-interpret much? What rubbish!

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I would wait till other polls produce similar figures before going into full panic mode. Quinnipiac was one of the worst pollsters in 2014 and they are on their way to repeating that his time around — they predicted Clinton would win Ohio by only dive points and she won by 14.

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TPM must of missed that poll.

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“Quinnipiac”

Don’t even bother reading the polling results. Quinnipiac, used to be the gold standard for accuracy.

Now, they are gold standard for always tilting re-puke and being dead wrong! Just ask President Rmoney…see, wrong.

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And most interesting, 20% of republicans said they are voting Hillary in that poll. If even half of that holds true through out Florida, Trump loses in a landslide.

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Q always over polls white voters. There is so much wrong with these polls. Trump got a bump simply from winning the nomination and gets more publicity whereas poor HRC all we hear is about how untrustworthy and unlikeable she is. Someone please tell me what she, herself has done to win the labels of untrustworthy an unlikeable. Other than her Iraq vote what did she do. One might suspect it has something to do with the media pushing the right wing meme every day. You repeat a lie enough and people believe it. Fucking media whores

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Let me put it like this: I can’t see Madame Secretary losing states in Nov. that Pres. Obama won in '12. I just can’t see that.

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