I think it was a brief tear in the time-space continuum, providing a quick glimpse into an alternate universe where Alabama Republicans have moral integrity.
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Itās very encouraging to me that Jones has made this competitive.
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Hey, if the Dolphins can beat the Patriots, anything can happen this weekā¦
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Did that come straight from Captain Obvious? My bet is we wonāt know the winner for weeks.
Some of us still have a functioning moral compass. Itās so-called evangelical āChristiansā that are completely without an ethical or moral compass.
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Lose a Senate seat to a Democrat, and have your president publicly rejected in a super-red state.
Oh, how sweet that would be.
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Hate to post a TPM competitor but HuffPo has a pretty good live update link:
That a Pedophile won the GOP Primary, and a run-off in Alabama is a death-sign of the American republic. We have forever lost any and all ethical or moral compass.
FIFY
If heās elected, it just means he gets to participate in overseeing the demise of my beloved republic. If he loses then Doug Jones will be there fighting to keep it alive, but some days I doubt that that is a battle that can be won.
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Moore is leading by 5 points with 25% reporting. Not looking good save for Mitch getting to eat a shit sandwich tomorrow.
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At this moment, based on the results so far and which precincts have been counted and which havenāt been yet, the NYT is giving Jones a 57% chance of winning, with an estimated margin of victory of 1.2 points.
Savor it while it lastsā¦that needle has been bouncing back and forth between a narrow Jones win and a narrow Moore win.
EDIT: Whoa ā just while I was writing that, they updated to a 63% chance for Jones, and a margin of victory of 2.3 points.
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No, itās waaay too early to celebrate or immolate. It all depends on where that 25% is from and how those precincts went for Tramp last year.
I have champagne and valium so Iām good to go either way.
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No, and if you look at 538 Moore seems to be hitting or beating his benchmark numbers in various counties, though maybe not in every case. I wish I were feeling more optimistic.
OK but then we have this from 538: HARRY ENTEN 9:17 PM
Boy, Iāll tell ya, those Jefferson County numbers look good for Jones. And there are a lot of votes there. Still, keep in mind that these counties are diverse, so itās still too early to say anything for sure.
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Oddly, they are also reporting that Jones is outperforming some of his ābenchmarksā in the districts heās expected to winā¦
We need to find out if @spencersmom has enough to share.
And, I advocate starting early.
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Sharing is caring - I already dipped into the stash of ediblesā¦
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NYTimes āneedleā is currently giving Jones a 77% chance of winning, and an estimated margin of victory of 5 points.
Of course I have no idea how they are calculating that.
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I have brownies. They work for every occasion.
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Maybe the NYT āneedleā got into @imkmu3ās brownies
Iām just guessing
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Personally Iām going with both alcohol and valium, just to cover all my bases.
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Nate Cohn explains why their āneedleā prediction is moving towards Jonesā¦at least for now.
Folks, our model thinks that the GOP may have a big turnout problem.
ā Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) December 13, 2017
The three, white, GOP counties have fallen far short of our turnout estimates--including two under 75% of our estimates.
That's what the big swing in our estimate is about.
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I literally had that tweet on my clipboard to post here. Thatās big news!
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