The current generic Congressional polling average shows the Democrats up by 11.8% and rising. That’s higher than the Democrats polled before either the 2006 or 2008 elections and higher than the Republicans polled in 2010. This strongly implies that a bowl of fruit could beat most any Republican in all but the reddest districts next year.
Predicting Senate races is never easy because any open Senate race is more about the two candidates than about the political climate. Still, I think it’s safe to argue that the Democrats are at little risk of losing any seats in the Senate that they currently hold, with the possible exception of New Jersey if they’re stupid enough to run Menedez again next year.
I know the Democrats have to defend a lot of blue seats in red states, but it won’t matter. The Republicans are too out of favor to mount a significant challenge against any of them next year.
So, looking ahead at seats we can take, I think it’s safe to say that both seats in Arizona are up for grabs (it seems very unlikely that McCain will still be in the Senate next fall) and Nevada is also an somewhat easy target for a Dem pickup. In addition, I thinkTed Cruz is pretty vulnerable even in Texas. That’s four potential pickups already.
If the Democrats really feel ambitious, they might even mount a fight for Tennessee (open) and Nebraska. I know Nebraska sounds really crazy, but Trump is not sitting at all well with midwestern conservatives right now. By next November, even the cornhuskers might be willing to dump anyone who can be tied to him. We’ll see.
Either way, that’s a potential of 4-6 Dem pickups next year. I know that sounds very optimistic, but I’m reasonably sure Trump won’t be getting more popular in the next eleven months, so my optimism is somewhat warranted.
And sore winners… the Lying Orange Urine-Stain’s former campaign manager has publicly complained about the corruption in the Hillary Clinton Administration, and the LOUS himself keeps pretending that he won by a landslide.
Moore has sent out fundraising emails to supporters asking for donations to fund a fraud investigation.
The only Moore-related fraud investigation that I want to see funded is the one concerning the tax fraud which he and his wife committed with their The Foundation for Moral Law charity slush fund.
One of the biggest problems with Moore are the results were not simply a reflection of a decision on him being in office. It is a testament to how he as a person is viewed. That has to burn an ego like that, just like it will and does this §resident.
He was judged not on his politics. So, how is that going to end up playing with the hometown crowd once it sinks in.
At last, the votes are cast, and all the counting has been done
And, yes, in spite of all the fuss it seems that Jones has won
But not for Roy, who won’t concede until he gets the Word,
Until his Lord says “Moore, no more!” he will not be deterred.
He’s praying for a recount, much in mind of what can be,
When Jesus changed some H2O to ethanol, so He
Might alter twenty-thousand votes, to set things square, why not?
(And some day send the Sodomites to where it’s always hot![1])
Alas, not even Don the Con can will this one away
There really is a limit, and bad karma gets its day.
So mount up Roy and gallop off, you’ve made your final splash
Go forth, with George[2], and Jeff[3], and Nate[4], to join the racist trash.
[1] As suggested by Moore’s brother.
[2] George Wallace, [3] Jeff Davis, or Sessions 4] Nathan Bedford Forrest, rebel General, slaughterer of black POWs at Fort Pillow, and founder of the KKK
Having been born in the Cornhusker State (Go Big Red!!!). I can confirm … the farmers hate Donnie messing with NAFTA, because that trade deal opened up markets for their wheat, beef and corn. Buyer’s remorse is running deep in rural Nebraska.
It’s more than just NAFTA. Trump’s entire demeanor has always gone over like fingernails on a chalkboard in the midwest. As the evidence mounts that he’s truly guilty of a great number of significant crimes (including conspiring with Russians) places like Nebraska will really turn on him.
