Discussion: Fool Me Twice: Trump Continues Streak Of Tweeting Polls That Show Him Trailing

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#16

An interesting observation, GOET. Perhaps the following may add some insight.

But when you compare the polls to votes — Republican primary and caucus results — the bulk of evidence suggests that there aren’t many shy Trump supporters.

Indeed, there’s little reason to think that we’re in for a surprise in the general election because of Trump outperforming his polling on Election Day. As Cohn pointed out, the difference in Hillary Clinton’s margin over Trump between live-interview and online polls is fairly small right now at 2.5 percentage points, and that may have more to do with how the horse-race question is asked than the survey mode. This doesn’t mean that Trump won’t greatly outperform his polls or that people won’t be afraid to voice their support for him. But when you look at the evidence from the primary season and the general election survey results so far, I would bet on the polls getting Trump right again.

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#17
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#18

The top reply to Trump’s tweet as of midday Wednesday was a link to this search result:

which is greater 42 or 40

Love it!

By the way, we will know that “the Google” has achieved true sentience when it spontaneously starts responding to questions like that with answers like “what, are you fucking kidding me?”

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#19

Well, clearly the two numbers don’t add up to 100 and when you include the missing ones, it’s Trump in a landslide!

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#20

His thumb was up? I must have missed it … :wink:

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#21

From your lips to Herr Drumpf’s ears… Goddess of Truth

#22

He’s just playing to the whole “THE POLLS ARE SKEWED!!!” crowd. Trump being behind by 2% in a poll translates to him having a lead of approximately 5% in the minds of the poor, victimized, white, Christian Teatroll morons who consider themselves the “silent majority,” which they will tell you in all seriousness “has now awoken” and will be “taking our country back.”

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#23

Yea, and they shall pour forth from the hills, from the barren windswept plains, from the turbid swampland and they shall deliver the country from itself! So it has been fever-dreamt, so it shall be done.

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#24

Yea. Even so, come, Lord Trump.

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#25

CRACKER-jack facts.

#26

Okay, all the blatant racism, blatant xenophobia, posting not one but TWO polls where he’s losing and all the blatantly illegal campaign contribution solicitations … come on, Donald, are you shittin’ us? Are you seriously not a troll trying to take down the GOP?

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#27

Basically, after scouring the polling landscape, searching in vain for a poll, any poll, that would show Trump winning, they found the one poll where he is only 2 points behind and there a lot of undecideds, which at least gives the impression of a close race and plenty of room for him to take the lead. So, they’re playing their strongest card…out of a very weak hand.

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#28

This is classic general election pivot in the Trump mode.

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#29

more and more this is looking like the Donald Trump production of The Producers crossed with 1984. Lets have the worst campaign ever – while touting Losing is Winning. Now der trump is begging for money from Scotland and Iceland. Dancing Trumps to the right, racist Trumps to the left. All we need is Melania to start saying “Bialystock and Trump”

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#30

With such vestigial hands as the Drumpfster Fire has, I don’t think he could possible ever be in danger of stepping on his Johnson. He probably can’t even find it (by himself).

I don’t know. That’s what people seem to be talking about a lot. Probably true. Sad, really.

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#31

Unless they show your candidate ahead. Am I missing something? You are so smart, tell me, what do the polls say.

#32

The Trump campaign is displaying all the tropes of modern conservatism. An almost pathological desire to be bigger & badder than others? Check. A supreme incompetence that completely contradicts the first assertion? Check! A thin skin and chronic sense of entitlement, toxic immaturity and unable to handle pressure, criticism…? Check and check…

Most of all, it’s the supreme incompetence that I really love. These fuggers back up their “Make America Great Again” talk with some of the most boneheaded moves imaginable. Who needs a ground operation to GOTV? Who needs fundraising and money…? Hahaha!!!

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#33

I both fear and anticipate, with great excitement, the coming Google Singularity. I might even be able to upload myself at that point and become One with it.

There are many worse options in Life that I cold escape with that Fate.

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#34

“Baseball is ninety percent mental. The other half is physical.” Yogi Berra

Likewise with polling, I suppose.

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#35

I don’t think it’s a mistake. He’s showing the poll most favorable to him. Trying to say, ‘hey, it’s closer than y’all think.’ May not be smart, but I really don’t think it’s a mistake.

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