Discussion: Democrats, Women And Trump-Aligned Republicans Make Gains In TX Primaries

Miller won easily despite being known for tweeting a derogatory term to refer to Hillary Clinton

Was it … “woman”?

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Laura Moser … advanced to a runoff despite being attacked by her own party establishment as being too liberal to win a general election.

Is she one of those “Bernie Bros” I keep hearing about?

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From Ted Cruz, with music:

Liberal Robert wanted to fit in
So he changed his name to Beto and hid it with a grin

It’s going to be a long eight months.

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Attorney General Ken Paxton, who is under felony indictment on charges of securities fraud, was unopposed in the primary

In Texas as in the rest of the USA, its all good if you’re a Republican. Tweeting misogyny? No problem.
Having the chief elected law enforcement official of your State be under felony indictment? What are you, some pinko Mother Jones or The Nation readers? No problem.

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Kathaleen Wall running an ad touting her advocacy for the Second Amendment and showing her aiming a rifle 24hours after the FL school massacre may have been a bit off putting to even Republicans. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfqGt-3wvn8

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As I recall, he is alleged to have committed securities fraud while he was a state representative, and his victims were his fellow Republican state representatives.

I’m not sure whether to laugh or laugh harder.

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For a guy named Rafael “Ted” Edward Cruz, it might well be.

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He is a little confused about tactics, no question about it.

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Rafael who was born in Canada…

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If you mean she doesn’t take corporate money and she’s running on progressive policies while being attacked by the Dem establishment, then yes.

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And then there is that.

Pretty rich (and easily countered) being that Rafael Cruz Jr also wanted to fit in with a demographic other than his own, and has swapped out his given baptism name for an Anglo name. Not to mention his Ivy League aspirations and degrees. An Ivy League guy named Rafael who pretends to cook bacon on a hot gun barrel. Seems like the O’Rourke folks should be able to find lots of material there.

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Demonstrating to all that he inherited the Bush Family trait of lacking in any core principles other than unwavering belief in the family entitlement to the highest public office in the land. And probably figuring that, hey, if a guy who pretended to be a successful businessman on TV can become President, why not me, George Prescott Bush, aka One of The Little Brown Ones. .

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Overall, Dems had a good night. I’m trying to get voter registration data by party, by county and by district to figure out our best opportunities, but haven’t been able to find it yet.

I noted 13 House districts that were competitive due to PVI or demographic makeup. Of the 13, my goal is to win 3-5 seats, and if we’re having a really good night and the GOP a bad one, then we could get as high as 6-8 seats.

I think yesterday’s performance could project out to a net 3 seat gain in TX, which would be a big deal. The GOP did have a good turnout performance and they have more voters in the state than do the Dems. Dems will have to rely a lot on Indies, especially in any R+7 and up district. TX is so badly gerrymandered (they turned Austin into a Swiss army knife) that Dems have to win Indies by about 15 to 20 points to get in position to win.

The Senate race is probably not going to work out for the Dems. It seemed to me that GOPers did turn out to protect Cruz because Beto O’Rourke has run a strong campaign in the media and has done a lot to build his profile, but he also didn’t ignite the Dem base as expected (getting only 65% of the vote) and Cruz in many places got a lot more votes than him, even in Dem counties. In a sense, Beto’s media strategy is motivating GOPers to come out against him and is not doing enough to motivate Democrats.

What I think Beto is going to have to do is to stop trying to fashion himself a novel candidate, and instead spend that money to raise Cruz’s negatives while focusing his itinerary on Texas’ top 20 counties to raise the participation rate and turnout. He has been going to small counties and towns and there are no votes there for Dems. This ‘I don’t take money from PACs’ stuff is frankly ineffective. Most people don’t care. By doing so, he can help House candidates, where we have a better shot to win. The only way Beto wins that race is if GOPers don’t turn out, Dems do turn out and Indies side with Dems.

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It is sort of typical though for Ted. There is a very juvenile edge to “Ted” in everything he does. I am surprised he wasn’t adopted directly into the Trump family. Up next, school yard taunts.

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There is more of us. If you add the vote totals for the parties the Dems are rocking it. We must focus on November 2018. That is all that matters.

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Democratic voters topped the 1 million mark, a total not seen since the 2002 primary. Republicans responded in even larger numbers, passing 1.5 million, breaking the party record of 1.48 million set in 2010.

I’m not sure how good of a sign this is for Democrats. After all, Democrats lost in the 2002 midterms whereas Republicans won big in 2010. I think the Dems will do very well overall this year, but it seems as though Texas will remain very, very red.

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They asked him but, Penn being one of the “minor Ivies,” he refused.

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Ask the Russians nicely and they might give it to you.

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