Trump: Not worried. Gerrymandering, voter suppression, not allowing non-whites to vote etc will keep me in power forever. Republicans are the Permanent majority. I will never pay any tax. Ever!
So, is anyone tasked, or taking on the task, of making sure there isn’t one single state legislative seat that gets won by a Republican because no one, or no one who wasn’t clinically insane, was running against them?
Waaaaaay too early to put much stock in any midterm ‘predictions.’
You’ve been given a gift, Dems. Don’t blow it.
I know it’s way too early but I hope 14 of the 20 are the blots from California…
Helloooo… DNC? Anyone home? Hellooooo…
Wouldn’t that be the DCCC?
Is it hoping for too much to expect more bizarre Republican legislation coupled with unsealed indictments leading to a mid-term GOP disaster?
Eventually it’d be good to see some of these bastards in orange jumpsuits. There are some mugshots I would absolutely frame on a wall in my office.
“Cook Report Moves 20 House Seats In Dems’ Favor”
This title is rather cannily worded for clickability—many readers will automatically assume that it means 20 races now favor the Democrat where formerly the GOPer was favored. The reality is in the first paragraph: it’s just that the Democrats’ odds of winning those districts has increased.
• 3 districts go from leaning Republican to toss-ups
• 11 districts move from likely Republican to leaning Republican
• 6 districts move from solid Republican to leaning Republican
Sure, it’s good news, but c’mon.
Somebody has got to get busy…
It might be the case that Perez/Ellison are going gangbusters, but if they are they’re certainly not letting the general Democratic population know. Maybe they’ve figured that it’s smarter to keep what they’re doing quiet, but it has the appearance of continuing the chronic Democratic weakness in basic messaging/communications/PR/marketing.
Could be the NFC, the AFC, or KFC, as far as I’m concerned… Somebody has got to get busy…
And that’s still too cautious. It should probably be more like 40.
Amen, bro. In 2006, after six years of Dubya, the Democrats ran the table to flip both the House and the Senate. After the defeat of McCain in 2008, you would have thought that the Republicans would never return to power in our lifetimes. But in 2010, they were back in a wave that sent assholes like Joe Walsh and Alan West to the House and Ron Johnson to the Senate.
The electorate is very fickle and has a very short memory.
Theoretically, that task belongs to the DCCC. As a practical matter however, a significant amount of the work of recruiting and vetting potential candidates falls upon the local Democratic organizations in each district. Also bear in mind, the DCCC hardly has unlimited funding, and therefore will have to prioritize where they spend the money.
My county is 3:1 republican:Democrat. And that same ratio holds basically true for the entire Congressional District. We aren’t holding our breath expecting the DCCC to shower cash upon us; if they provide us with some help, we will gladly take advantage of it, but we know the heavy lifting for fund raising, candidate prep and running the campaign is going to fall to us locally. And we’ve been stepping up and continue to step up to make sure we can give it our best effort.
But personally, I would rather the DCCC spend money on races that are toss ups, instead of races that are solidly red like mine.
I hope any Democratic AG who thinks it might be unethical to unseal indictments against Trump, or any other Republican office holders during the campaign season, remembers the high standard set by James Comey in the last two weeks of the 2016 election, and acts accordingly.
I suppose you’re probably right, as far as general readership is concerned, but I think most TPM readers are sophisticated enough about national politics to know how Cook’s works and that Moves means movement relative to a previous assessment.
In '86 the Demoncraps were so moribund in my district they didn’t run an official House candidate and this guy ran a quiet little write-in campaign, got on the Democratic ballot, and turned out to be a Larouchie. So the Dems had to make a big announcement saying OMG don’t vote for this guy. They’re doing better since then. That was kind of a low point.
The electorate won’t need long memories for this one.
If any of this bill goes into effect in 2018, the electorate will have ten months of billings to stew over monthly reminders of lost coverage, increased premiums, increased deductibles, and bigger health care bills.
All due (pun intended) to the AHCA, written & enacted by Republicans on a party-line vote, and signed by a Republican President.
Now all we need are strong democratic candidates, lots of grass roots support, super turnout at the polls and lots of money. Let’s roll.
@maximus, it’s why I am a huge fan of non-party apparatus for funding candidacies. I can’t wait around for them. I just can’t.
Best kept secret in the country. We know more about AHCA than we do about what the DNC plan is for 2018.
Certainly the pace they are setting in the Senate bodes well for a drawn-out investigation.