Discussion: After Trump Tape Surfaces, Dems Hustle To Expand Their House Gains

And this is why you support a 50-state organization. And support people running for state offices.

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The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee should have started working this election long before now. It didn’t take a genius to realize back in July that Trump was a really bad candidate and a landslide was possible.

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I like the anti-Gallager ad. I understand they will be running nationally tying the Orange Albatross firmly around the necks of these Rerthugliklan curs.

Hey, Grabber Of Pussies, you conceived this monster and now you must carry it to term.

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@ronbyers Too little too late! Well, it will hopefully be enough in time. But, your point that there could have been more earlier is well taken.

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The Cook Report has the Colorado 6th as a toss up. Coffman is in danger. Donate to Morgan Carroll. This is one of those we might gain.

There needs to be another tape release soon, preferably on Monday. This only works if he stays on defense, if the party remains back on their heels, having to constantly defend, deny or unendorse. They need to be in a constant state of whiplash but not so much that the electorate begins to tune it all out or even sympathize with Trump as the underdog. This is a delicate dance in which Democrats can’t be too overzealous, yet they need to continue slapping him around.

And, sorry, but elections aren’t won by challengers, especially little known ones, attacking and going full bore in July. The candidates have to introduce themselves to the electorate first. Then you go on attack in September and October and close positive. Otherwise, you run the risk of your attacks falling flat and ignored by Election Day and, worse, you never give your voters something to vote for. Democratic voters are far more motivated to get to the polls when they’re voting for a candidate than rooting against. Republican candidates don’t have that problem. Their voters turn out because it’s Election Day and they vote R up and down the ticket.

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The Democrats are not very good at winning local and statewide elections in many places, and there are lots of reasons why this could be so. And one of the most important and damaging is that Democrats haven’t yet hit on a successful strategy for turning out voters in midterm elections. That hurts them in congressional and governor races, as well as in state legislatures, which in turn allows Rs to control the gerrymandering process.

Democrats have also failed to build a strong bench of candidates. This year Ds did not even field a candidate in some districts because they did not imagine that they might win a blowout. In others, the D candidate seemed too weak to create a competitive race.

But the good news is that predictions from various places is that Ds chances of winning the House are up to 25% or around 15 seats or even more.

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Remind me how many seats we need? And could the Dems pull a Bush move and immediately order some kind of impartial redistricting process, should they hit the trifecta? I know it’s not gonna happen, but it’s awfully fun to imagine Trump blowing up the Republicans’ Thousand-Year House Majority

Pretty fucking funny that Renee Ellmers was Donald’s first endorsement and she lost. George Holding is now running ads saying we really need to keep republicans in congress to fight Hillary. They know she going to hand Trump his ass!

Hardy said, I think when we degrade that mother, wife and housewife …

Housewife? Really? My late mother was a stay-at-home mom born in 1917 and even she bristled at being called a housewife!

Dear god, what year is this?!?!

As you wish:

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Whoa, and I bet this is just the tip of a Cosby style avalanche of women coming forward to tell their story.

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LGB and Plucky…here is a link to Sam’s Princeton site…which has some interesting things about the House in general and Gerrymandering specifically. I hope it is useful at this time:

http://election.princeton.edu/

Note too that Sam’s site is not as much geared to click-bait and has an excellent reputation. The news regarding Hill’s chances is superb.

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Is “Cosbying” now a verb? :laughing:

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Thanks to that incompetent nincompoop Debbie Wasserman-Shultz the Dems are were caught flat-footed on this one and have not recruited enough decent candidates to take the house. With Trump on the ballot and the tons of oppo research that they have, they should have seen something like this coming. Now, it will take a complete nationwide HRC blowout for them to even get a sniff of a house majority. Districts are gerrymandered to the ying-yang. I’m not seeing the Dems taking the House, but then again, Trump. He could and may likely do something catastrophically stupid over the next few weeks.

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Here’s hoping that the rising tide carries Democrat Josh Gottheimer to victory over right wing extremist Scott Garrett, in the NJ-5

Wondering where you’ve been all day, so thanks for showing up and for this link. Wow!

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The DCCC has been slow off the mark in funding the California races they needed to. According to the Daily Kos site up to eight Califronia races are competitive, (although 2 or 3 very unlikely to flip). http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/house
These seats are:
CA-07 = Dem likely win, Ami Bera incumbent keeps seat.
CA-10 = Lean Republican, Jeff Denham faces rematch with Mike Eggman, DCCC late to the party but now spending
CA-17 = Definitely some kind of “Democrat” will win, but incumbent Mike Honda is being challenged by nominal Democrat Ro Khanna.
CA-21 = Incumbent and Appropriations Committee member David Valadao was sitting on nearly $2 million at the end of June. His challenger, Emilio Huerta, is the son of Dolores Huerta, on the 71% Latino district. DCCC spent nothing as it seems low turnout would assure this majority Democratic district would fall again to the GOP. Suddenly, Huerta, who came from behind in the primary, has a viable ground game. “Trump y Valadao” seems to have put Valadao in zugzwang.
CA-24 = Dem Salud Carbajal faces Justin Fareed. Dem win likely here.
CA-25 = Incumbent newbie Steve Knight faces Bryan Caforio. DCCC seems to think this race is winnable.
CA-36 = Incumbent Raul Ruiz on track to beat Jeff Stone who can’t seem to articulate how he feels about Trump.
CA-49 = Incumbent Darrell Issa is in trouble agaist Doug Applegate. Surprising outcome possible. Issa is hated in some GOP circles. Very expensive race!
CA-52 = Tweet-challenged incumbent Scott Peters seems to be crushing an even more incompetent and ethically challenged Denise Gitsham.

New item on all this Trump twisting and turning: http://elections.kqed.org/article/11123693/list-which-california-republicans-are-supporting-donald-trump

And Pete Sessions (R-Dallas) has no opponent.Ugh.I remember a guy named Howard Dean who believed no Republican should go unopposed, and who begat 2006…