I think it’s a lock the next three weeks are filled with all manner of drama and dangerous bullshit stunts on Trump’s part. There’s nothing in it for him to leave any arrow in the quiver. More pardons. More transition meddling and sabotage arrayed against Biden. Maybe a war started. It’s hard to predict, but the Executive can cause a lot of trouble as a matter of whim, legally, and people have to follow the orders. Either that or resign, and he’ll tap others that will.
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An aside, but has anyone else gotten their $600? I got it this morning to my Turbo Card. That was fast.
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The end is near so the terrorist Trump will shoot all the hostages before he’s finished.
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The WH is surrounded by several walls/fences like the concentric walls around a Welsh castle. He appears to be preparing for some sort of siege. So there’s that to consider. Folks think that Trump is war averse, but I think that may depend on what’s in it for him. He’d start a war in a heartbeat if there was gain or profit for him.
I really don’t know. He says all sorts of weird stuff and nonsense, but with Trump, the ethnographic approach is better. Watch where he goes and observe what he does and then ask, what might he do next?
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They can exhaust every lawful avenue for his attempt to stay on, but if they go outside the law, they can and should expect legal action after the 20th, e.g. sedition, incitement, conspiracy, treason, etc. I don’t care if it’s “divisive”. The shit they’ve been pulling is what’s actually divisive, and it has to be responded to forcefully or it’ll come back to haunt us someday.
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The fact that he returned to DC is the scary part. Then back to GA for a rally, then back to DC. Something has him way way too motivated from my POV.
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One possibility he may be planning for–a crime btw, several of them in fact–is having armed “protesters” open fire, which he’ll pardon them for, meanwhile he’ll invoke the Insurrection Act to declare martial law. It won’t work, of course, and he may well be deposed via the 25th, and if not arrested and indicted on the 20th. I just don’t see any path, lawful or not, for him to succeed.
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It might be as simple as being the master of tweet ceremonies for the Jan 6 “Joint Shitshow of Shitshows.” He’s a micromanager and the urge to choreograph the Joint Session down to the last thrown turd must be overwhelming.
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There’s no 4 vaccines on the market and at least 1 more completing phase 3 in January (J&J). So far the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are the most effective. I wonder if we’re going to run into issues with people prefering those 2 over the AstraZenec (70%) and this China one (80%)?
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But if Iran is deliberately avoiding any provocation that exposes him and his motivations. Does anyone but a few neocons actually want to go to war with Iran? He may not really be in a position to start a wag-the-dog war with them if they play it cool. He’ll be out there on his own, his intentions obvious. He may not be war averse, but he’s personal risk averse. Our own mythology here is that he’ll do anything but that’s really not true.
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Absolutely. An unprovoked attack on Iran would bring world-wide condemnation with all sorts of unforeseen effects. It would seem that the Iranians are doing their best not to be goaded. I hope they continue.
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Trump has tweeted that it is “statisticallly impossible” for him to have lost the election.
What kind of statistics is he using? Let’s examine the possibility space.
Descriptive? No, because he lost the election.
Inferential? No, because he lost the election.
Probabilistic? No, because he lost the election.
Navarrovian? No, because he lost the election.
Lottian? No, because he lost the election.
Quantum mechanical? I’m uncertain about this, but probably not.
My conclusion is that it is statistically highly likely, to a near certainty, that it is not stastistically impossible that Trump lost the election.
If I free myself from the shackles of statistics, I can see clearly that Trump did lose the election.
Moreover, I say that, classifying every statement about any thing, gross or subtle, in one of three mutually exclusive categories, namely the true, the false, and the indeterminable, that it is true that Trump lost the election.
I consider the matter settled.
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Inciting a riot is probably well within his “comfort zone”.
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I’d really love to tell you you’re wrong, but I can’t. But what I can’t get my head around is, what is he going to do? What trouble is he going to make?
Partly I don’t know the answer because I’m not sure what the president can do on his own without the backing of Congress. Partly it’s a lack of imagination in regards to criminal behavior. IOW, I’m not a criminal so I don’t think like one. 
But Im with you, Ralph, I think he’s going to anything and everything to cause maximum damage. It reminds me of Josh Marshalls essay where he talked about ‘maximum shitshow’. It’ll be THAT— on steroids. 
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He’s tried to do that multiple times. I’m talking about enduring an international storm of well-deserved rage and contempt for attempting to start a global war just to remain in power.
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Yeah, but Matt, would you really put it past him? He certainly would try anyways…
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China will not take front row for the most customers worldwide. AstraZeneca will be making 3 billion does during 2021. Brazil and India are next in line for approving their vaccine. Argentina and the UK both have approved it recently.
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I’m explicitly saying it’s not correct to say he’ll do anything. The limits on his behavior are way out there, about as far out there at least as the gas-giant planets compared to what a normal person’s are, but they exist. He’s a huge coward and he’s tormented by indecision at all times because he’s also very dumb. He’s full of rage and fear, and he’s desperate not to have to leave office, but he’s like anyone else in imagining all kinds of crazy options he can’t or won’t go through with. I’m not making any predictions about specifically what he will or won’t do, but I’m saying I see it as not supported by facts to imagine the most out-there stuff and assume he’ll do it. When he’s been opposed with firmness he backs down every single time.
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I repeat for emphasis - he came back to DC on New Years Eve foregoing a black tie party with his cash cows. As they say in Lancaster County “he’s up to schnitz”.
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He’s been up to things since long before the election. So far he remains a non-dictator.
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